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Seattle Mariners vs NY Yankees Prediction 3/30/26 MLB Picks Today

NY Yankees (3-0) vs. Seattle Mariners (2-2)
March 30, 2026 9:40 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -112 / NY Yankees -108; Over/Under: 7.5
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The New York Yankees and the Seattle Mariners meet Monday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send out Ryan Weathers for the start here and Weathers was 2-2 with a 3.99 ERA and 37 strikeouts last season. This will be Weathers’ second career start against the Mariners. Luis Castillo will get the nod for the Mariners here and was 11-8 with a 3.54 ERA and 162 strikeouts last season. In his last five starts against the Yankees, Castillo is 1-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 27 strikeouts.

New York Yankees Recap

The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on their 3-1 win over the Giants in Saturday’s finale to start the year at 3-0. After this series, the Yankees will head home for a series against the Miami Marlins.

Yankees Looking To Stay Unbeaten

Giancarlo Stanton leads the Yankees with 6 hits including a home run and two RBIs while Jose Caballero has 3 hits with an RBI as well. Austin Wells, Cody Bellinger has 4 hits and Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a pair of hits while Aaron Judge has 2 home runs and 3 RBIs. Paul Goldschmidt’s added a double while Trent Grisham has a triple and 2 RBIs and Ryan McMahon and Ben Rice each have 2 RBIs as well on the year. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Mariners have lost each of their last 10 night games against the Yankees at T-Mobile Park following a win.
  • The Yankees have won 10 of their last 12 games as road underdogs against the Mariners.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last 16 games as underdogs against the Mariners.
  • The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games.
  • Amed Rosario has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 Monday night appearances with his team as an underdog.
  • Giancarlo Stanton ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (6) this season.

Seattle Mariners Recap

The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to add on to their 8-0 win over Cleveland in Sunday’s series finale to improve to 2-2 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a game against the Los Angeles Angels.

Mariners Earn Split To Start Year

Brendan Donovan has a team-high 6 hits with 2 home runs and 4 RBIs while Luke Raley has 4 hits with a team-high 3 homers and 6 RBIs this season. Cal Raleigh’s added a pair of hits with a double and an RBI but also has a team-high 10 strikeouts. Cole Young’s chipped in a home run and 3 RBIs as well while Randy Arozarena has 2 doubles and Leo Rivas has a triple this season. Dominic Canzone also has a pair of home runs on the year so far.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

  • The home team has won four of the last five games between the Yankees and Mariners.
  • The Yankees have lost each of their last three games against AL West opponents following a win.
  • The home team has covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Yankees and Mariners.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as road underdogs.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Cal Raleigh has hit a home run in five of the Mariners’ last six home games against AL East opponents.
  • Julio Rodriguez has recorded a Double in three of the Mariners’ last four games against the Yankees.
  • Luis Castillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Monday appearances against teams that held a winning record.
  • Brendan Donovan has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances in night games.
  • Brendan Donovan ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (6) this season.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Mariners’ last eight games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Yankees’ last five games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.

New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

I’m on the Yankees here. I know Seattle is at home but they’re coming off of Sunday night baseball and the Yankees had the extra day of rest on Sunday. Weathers is a guy the Yankees went out to get so I’m sure they think highly of him, and frankly I trust the Yankees to come up with the bigger hits when the time comes. Give me New York.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: NY Yankees -108

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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