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Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 8-23-24 MLB Picks
San Francisco Giants (65-64) vs. Seattle Mariners (64-64)
August 23, 2024 10:10 pm EDT
The Line: Seattle Mariners -160 / San Francisco Giants +135; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 23rd at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 64-64 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Seattle is coming off of a series loss against the Dodgers, where they lost all three games by scores of 3-0, 6-3, and 8-4. Prior to that series, the Mariners lost two out of three against the Pirates, lost all three against the Tigers, and swept the Mets in three games. Seattle is just 1-8 in their last nine games and they are second in the AL West.
The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Mariners offense has scored 503 runs with a .216 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Cal Raleigh is batting .212 with 27 home runs and 78 RBI’s for the Mariners this season.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview
The San Francisco Giants are 65-64 this year and they have won three of their last four games. San Francisco is coming off of a series win against the White Sox, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Giants split two games with the Athletics, lost three out of four against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Tigers. San Francisco is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are fourth in the NL West.
The San Francisco pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .249 opponent batting average. The Giants offense has scored 556 runs with a .243 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .245 with 20 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Giants this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Luis Castillo, who is 10-12 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 153.2 innings pitched this season. Castillo has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Hayden Birdsong, who is 3-3 with a 5.01 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year. Birdsong has allowed 13 earned runs in his last three starts (11.0 IP).
Why the Mariners will beat the Giants
- The Mariners have won each of their last seven home games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Giants have lost three of their last four games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last seven home games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Mariners’ last nine home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Giants’ last four games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last six night games at T-Mobile Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five night games between the Giants and Mariners.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Justin Turner has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against the Giants.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded a Double in each of the Mariners’ last four home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Justin Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL West opponents.
- Luke Raley has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Josh Rojas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Luke Raley has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Josh Rojas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances after not playing the previous day.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Heliot Ramos has recorded a Single in seven of the Giants’ last eight night games.
- Michael Conforto has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Giants’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Michael Conforto has recorded at least one Double in three of the Giants’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Michael Conforto has scored a run in each of the Giants’ last four games as road underdogs.
- Matt Chapman has hit a home run in three of the Giants’ last four games as road underdogs.
- Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL West opponents.
- Matt Chapman has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL West opponents.
Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants Prediction
Seattle comes into this series continuing to struggle and they are in real trouble in the AL West, as they are now 5.5 games behind the Astros. The Mariners do play their best baseball at home, where they are 37-26 on the season. San Francisco is just 27-36 on the road, but they need to be much better if they want to stick around in the Wild Card race. The Giants are starting Birdsong, who looked pretty good a few weeks ago, but has struggled in recent starts. The Mariners are going with Castillo, who has been average in his last few starts. Seattle’s offense is a major concern, but I do think they can find some success against Birdsong, so my Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants prediction is for the Mariners to win by at least two runs.