Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 5-4-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 4th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in this series. 

Cubs Searching for Consistent Offense

The Chicago Cubs are 19-14 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. Prior to losing the first game in this series, Chicago split a four game series with the Mets. Before that series, the Cubs lost two out of three against Boston and swept the Astros in three games. Chicago hasn’t won back to back games in over a week and they are currently second in the NL Central, two games behind Milwaukee for first. 

The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.86 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Cubs offense has scored 157 runs with a .236 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson is batting .224 with three home runs and 11 RBI’s for the Cubs this season. Chicago has scored two runs or fewer in four of their last seven games, but they are seventh in runs scored so far this season. 

Brewers Pulling Away in the NL Central 

The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-11 this year and they have won three games in a row. Milwaukee won game one in this series by a score of 3-1 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Brewers won two out of three against Tampa Bay, lost two out of three to New York, and split a four game set with Pittsburgh. Milwaukee is now first in the NL Central and they have a two game cushion at the moment. The Brewers are leading the Cubs, Reds, and Cardinals, with all three teams within five games. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.88 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 160 runs with a .258 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. William Contreras is batting .341 with five home runs and 26 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee is just 17th in team ERA in the MLB, but they have allowed two runs or fewer in four straight games. The Brewers have also scored at least five runs in five of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jameson Taillon, who is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 18.0 innings pitched this season. Taillon has allowed one earned run in each of his first three starts and has allowed just 14 hits in 18.0 innings. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Tobias Myers, who is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this year. Myers has allowed five earned runs and nine hits over his first two starts, but has collected nine strikeouts as well. 

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon Record this season: 2-0 ERA: 1.50
• The Cubs have won seven of their last eight games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Brewers have lost eight of their last nine Saturday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a home loss.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four road games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have lost the first inning in each of their last five Saturday games against opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Tobias Myers Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 4.50
• The Brewers have won each of their last 10 day games against National League opponents.
• The Cubs have lost each of their last nine day games against the Brewers following a home loss.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against the Brewers following a home loss.
• The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three Saturday games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Brewers have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 17 games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Cubs’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Brewers’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last four day games against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six Saturday games against National League opponents.

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Milwaukee comes into this game looking to extend their lead in the NL Central and they have been great on the road, going 13-4 away from home. Chicago has struggled a little bit recently, but they are still 10-4 at home on the year. The Cubs will turn to Jameson Taillon, who has been very sharp since coming off of the IL. Milwaukee will have Tobias Myers on the mound, but he has not had much work so far this season. These two teams have been very strong to start the season, but I am going to lean on Taillon here. My Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is for the Cubs to win game two.