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St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 7-9-24 Picks

Kansas City Royals (49-43) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (48-42)
July 9, 2024 7:45 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals -125 / Kansas City Royals +105; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 9th at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Cardinals are Playing Very Well 

The St. Louis Cardinals are 48-42 this season and they have won four of their last five games. St. Louis is coming off of a series win against Washington, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Cardinals won two out of three against the Pirates, split four games with the Reds, and won two out of three against the Braves. St. Louis is 6-2 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL Central. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 369 runs with a .244 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Alec Burleson is batting .283 with 14 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. St. Louis has scored at least six runs in four straight games. 

Royals Trying to Get Back on Track 

The Kansas City Royals are 49-43 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Kansas City is coming off of a series loss against Colorado, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Royals lost two out of three against the Rays, won three out of four against the Guardians, and won two out of three against the Marlins. Kansas City is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are third in the AL Central. 

The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 418 runs with a .246 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .324 with 15 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last eight games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 4-3 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 45.0 innings pitched this season. Pallante has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 5-6 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 84.1 innings pitched this year. Wacha has allowed exactly one earned run in each of his last three starts. 

Why the Cardinals will beat the Royals

  • The Royals have lost each of their last nine night games against the Cardinals following a win.
  • The Cardinals have won seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 road games.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last five home games against American League opponents following a road win.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Royals will beat the Cardinals

  • The Cardinals have lost each of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Royals’ last six games.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last nine Tuesday road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Cardinals have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Cardinals’ last eight night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Royals’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Royals’ last six games as road underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last three home games.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Alec Burleson has hit a home run in each of the Cardinals’ last three night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alec Burleson has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alec Burleson has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alec Burleson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 11 games against AL opponents.
  • Dylan Carlson has recorded at least one total base in each of his eight previous home appearances against the Royals.
  • Tommy Edman has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Salvador Perez has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances at Busch Stadium against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of the Royals’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Adam Frazier has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Cardinals.
  • Hunter Renfroe has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at Busch Stadium.
  • Hunter Renfroe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Busch Stadium.

St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals Prediction 

St. Louis comes into this game after finishing their weekend series with a win over the Nationals on Monday afternoon, and they are one of the hottest teams in the MLB. The Cardinals are just 4.5 games behind Milwaukee in the NL Central and they are 24-18 at home. Kansas City has faded over the last month and they are just 18-25 on the road this season. The Royals are starting Michael Wacha, who has been dominant over the last two weeks. The Cardinals are going with Pallante, who has been solid, but has only seen limited work as a starter. I like this pitching matchup and I think runs are going to be at a premium, so my St. Louis Cardinals vs Kansas City Royals prediction is for this game to go under the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 7.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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