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St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4-10-24 Picks

Philadelphia Phillies (5-6) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (6-6)
April 10, 2024 1:15 pm EDT
The Line: St. Louis Cardinals +115 / Philadelphia Phillies -135; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Cardinals vs Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, April 10th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. To formulate this prediction, we will examine:

  • The Cardinals recent form and recent player performance 
  • The Phillies recent form and recent play performance
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving St. Louis
  • Recent Betting trends and streaks involving Philadelphia 
  • Recent betting trends in games played between St. Louis and Philadelphia 
  • A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Today’s Game between St. Louis and Philadelphia

Cardinals Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 6-6 this year and they have lost two out of their last three games. St. Louis lost game one in this series, but they did win game two by a score of 3-0 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Cardinals won two out of three against Miami and two out of three against the Padres. The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .265 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 47 runs with a .218 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Nolan Gorman is batting .222 with three home runs and eight RBI’s for the Cardinals. The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Lance Lynn, who is 0-0 with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over 8.2 innings pitched this year. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-6 this season and they have alternated wins and losses over their last four games. Philadelphia won game one by a score of 5-3 on Monday, but dropped game two. Prior to this series, the Phillies won two out of three against Washington and lost two out of three to Cincinnati. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 41 runs with a .235 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .237 with three home runs and seven RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP over 10.0 innings pitched this season. 

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

  • The Cardinals have lost 13 of their last 14 games against the Phillies following a win.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in each of their last three games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Cardinals have led after 7 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Phillies and Cardinals.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have won 14 of their last 15 games against the Cardinals following a loss.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last six day games following a road loss.
  • The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven Wednesday road games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.

Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction

Philadelphia wasn’t able to get the win on Tuesday night, but they have won three of their last five games and have pitched very well during those games. St. Louis is right at .500 on the season and they have had some struggles with their pitching staff, but they did shutout Philadelphia on Tuesday. The Phillies are starting Aaron Nola, who allowed six earned runs to the Braves in his first start, but did pitch better in his second start against the Nationals. The Cardinals are going with Lance Lynn, who allowed four earned runs over 4.2 innings pitched in his last start against the Marlins. I know Nola got knocked around in his first outing, but he should be solid this season, but I can’t say the same for Lynn. I haven’t had much confidence in Lynn over the last couple of seasons and I don’t like this matchup for him. Take the Phillies here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Phillies ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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