Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Prediction 7-10-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 10th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Rays Look for Two in a Row 

The Tampa Bay Rays are 45-46 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Tampa Bay won game one in this series on Tuesday by a score of 5-3. Prior to this series, the Rays lost all three against the Rangers, won two out of three against the Royals, and won two out of three against the Nationals. Tampa Bay is 4-5 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 364 runs with a .235 batting average and a .310 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .267 with 15 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Rays this season. Tampa Bay has allowed at least four runs in four of their last six games. 

Yankees Lose Another One 

The New York Yankees are 55-38 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. New York lost the first game in this series on Tuesday and they allowed five runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Yankees lost two out of three against the Red Sox, lost all three against the Reds, and split four games with the Blue Jays. New York is just 3-11 in their last 14 games and they are second in the AL East. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, and a .224 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 467 runs with a .248 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .291 with 21 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has allowed at least four runs in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Zach Eflin, who is 5-5 with a 4.19 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 92.1 innings pitched this year. Eflin has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Marcus Stroman, who is 7-4 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 100.2 innings pitched this season. Stroman has allowed at least three earned runs in four straight starts. 

Why the Rays will beat the Yankees

• The Yankees have lost 12 of their last 13 games at Tropicana Field against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The home team has won each of the Rays’ last four games.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven road night games.
• The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven road night games.
• The Yankees have lost the first inning in each of their last four night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Yankees will beat the Rays

• The Yankees have won each of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Rays have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites following a win.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as road underdogs following a loss.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last seven road games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the Rays’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last 10 road games against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Yankees and Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances against the Yankees after playing the previous day.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded a Double in each of the Rays’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Isaac Paredes has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rays’ last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Zach Eflin has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Jose Siri has recorded a Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Rays as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• Zach Eflin has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his eight previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL East opponents.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances with the Rays as favorites against the Yankees.
• Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with the Rays as favorites against the Yankees.
• Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Gleyber Torres has hit a home run in each of the Yankees’ last two games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• Marcus Stroman has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Alex Verdugo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Yankees as underdogs.
• Oswaldo Cabrera has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances against AL opponents.
• J.D. Davis has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
• Anthony Rizzo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances at Tropicana Field.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Prediction 

New York comes into this game second in the AL East standings, but they have really struggled recently and the Red Sox are only a few games behind them. The Yankees are 30-19 on the road this year, while the Rays are 24-25 at home. Tampa Bay is one game below .500 and their pitching staff has really let them down. The Rays are starting Eflin, who I don’t really trust at all. The Yankees are going with Stroman, who has a decent ERA, but he has not pitched well recently. I was on the over in game one of this series and I think we are going to get plenty of runs in this game. My Tampa Bay Rays vs NY Yankees Prediction is for this game to go over the total.