Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Prediction 9-1-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 1st at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 67-68 this year and they have lost four of their last six games. Tampa Bay lost the first game in this series on Friday, but they won game two by a score of 11-4. Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Mariners, lost two out of three against the Dodgers, and split four games with the Athletics. Tampa Bay is 3-6 in their last nine games and they are fourth in the AL East. 

The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Rays offense has scored 524 runs with a .231 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Yandy Diaz is batting .276 with 12 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Rays this season. 

San Diego Padres Betting Preview

The San Diego Padres are 77-61 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. San Diego won game one in this series by a score of 13-5, but they allowed 11 runs in the game two loss. Prior to this series, the Padres split four games with the Cardinals, split four games with the Mets, and won two out of three against the Twins. San Diego is 7-6 in their last 13 games and they are battling Arizona for second in the NL West. 

The San Diego pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 660 runs with a .265 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .274 with 23 home runs and 83 RBI’s for the Padres this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Ryan Pepiot, who is 7-6 with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 104.2 innings pitched this year. Pepiot has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Dylan Cease, who is 12-10 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 159.0 innings pitched this season. Cease has allowed three earned runs or more in two of his last three starts. 

Why the Rays will beat the Padres

• The Rays have won each of their last eight games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Padres have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Why the Padres will beat the Rays

• The Padres have won seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
• The Rays have lost four of their last five games following a win.
• The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following a road loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games following a win.
• The Padres have won the first inning in each of their last four games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Padres’ last eight games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Rays’ last seven home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last four games as underdogs.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three games at Tropicana Field.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in each of the Rays’ last two games as home underdogs.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven appearances at Tropicana Field against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Taylor Walls has recorded at least one Single in each of his five previous home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in six of his last seven appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.

San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts

• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Padres as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit a home run in three of his four previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Dylan Cease has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Padres as favorites against AL East opponents.
• Luis Arraez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against AL East opponents.
• Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with the Padres as road favorites against AL opponents.
• Jackson Merrill has scored at least one run in 11 of the Padres’ last 12 day games.

Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Prediction 

San Diego scored 13 runs in a blowout win on Friday night, while Tampa Bay scored 11 runs in the win on Saturday, and we have a great pitching matchup to close out this series today. San Diego is 40-29 on the road, while Tampa Bay is 35-35 at home this year. The Padres are starting Dylan Cease, who has been great over the last few months, but has been a little shaky in the last week or so. Tampa Bay is going with Ryan Pepiot, who has been very good over his last few starts. I think runs are going to be at a premium in this game, so I am taking the under in this matchup.