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Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 8-2-24 MLB Picks

Boston Red Sox (57-50) vs. Texas Rangers (52-57)
August 2, 2024 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers +100 / Boston Red Sox -123; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 2nd at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Rangers Need to String Some Wins Together 

The Texas Rangers are 52-57 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Texas is coming off of a series loss against St. Louis, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Rangers lost all three against the Blue Jays, swept the White Sox in three games, and lost two out of three against the Orioles. Texas is 6-7 in their last 13 games and they are third in the AL West. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 460 runs with a .239 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Adolis Garcia is batting .210 with 18 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has allowed at least six runs in five of their last six games. 

Red Sox Hoping to Build Momentum 

The Boston Red Sox are 57-50 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Boston is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games and hit a walk-off home run on Wednesday. Prior to that series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Yankees, lost two out of three against the Rockies, and lost all three against the Dodgers. Boston is 4-8 in their last 12 games and they are third in the AL East. 

The Boston pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 522 runs with a .260 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .306 with 24 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season. Boston has allowed at least seven runs in nine of their last eleven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jose Urena, who is 3-5 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 76.1 innings pitched this season. Urena has allowed six earned runs in his last five relief appearances (12.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Kutter Crawford, who is 6-8 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 122.1 innings pitched this year. Crawford has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two starts (9.2 IP). 

Why the Red Sox will beat the Rangers

  • The Red Sox have won 15 of their last 16 Friday games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Rangers have lost 11 of their last 12 night games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last 10 road games against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have lost the first inning in each of their last three games against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against AL West opponents.
  • The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Rangers’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Red Sox’s last five night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four night games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four road games against AL West opponents.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded a hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight home games against AL East opponents.
  • Josh Jung has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five home appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Josh Jung has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Rangers’ last 10 night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has scored a run in nine of the Rangers’ last 10 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Jung has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Dominic Smith has recorded at least one Double in four of the Red Sox’s last five games against AL opponents.
  • Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Jarren Duran has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 13 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
  • Jarren Duran has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 13 road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Red Sox’s last six road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last six road games.

Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 

Texas comes into this series struggling over the last two weeks, but they are still within striking distance in the AL West, so they need to get going in this series. The Rangers are 29-23 at home, while the Red Sox are 30-22 on the road this season. Boston is also hanging around in the AL East, but they have a very tough challenge of catching the Orioles and/or Yankees. Texas has played their best baseball at home this season, but it is tough to trust them, as they have not sustained much success this season. I don’t like either starting pitcher in this matchup, but I have to give the edge to Boston, as Crawford should go deeper in the game and Boston is a very good road team. My Texas Rangers vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for the Red Sox to win. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Red Sox ML

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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