Tigers vs Marlins Prediction 4/12/26 MLB Picks Today

The Miami Marlins and Detroit Tigers meet Sunday in MLB action at Comerica Park. Here’s a Tigers vs. Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Tigers vs. Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 8-7 on the year and play the Braves and Brewers next. The Miami Marlins are batting .252 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and have a .398 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins pitching staff has a 3.61 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Miami Marlins with 20 hits and 6 RBI, while Javier Sanoja and Otto Lopez have combined for 30 hits and 11 RBI.

Sandy Alcantara gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-0 with a 0.74 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Alcantara’s second career game against the Detroit Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 6-9 on the year and play the Red Sox and Royals next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .233 on the season and have a .321 OBP, and a .355 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. Colt Keith leads the Detroit Tigers with 17 hits and 4 RBI, while Kevin McGonigle and Riley Greene have combined for 29 hits and 17 RBI.

Tarik Skubal gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 1-2 with a 2.55 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. Skubal is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The home team has won 12 of the Tigers’ last 13 games.
• The Marlins have lost six of their last seven road games.
• The home team has covered the run line in each of the Tigers’ last six games.
• The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
• The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

• The Tigers have lost 12 of their last 15 games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Marlins have won eight of their last 10 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last eight Sunday games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against NL East opponents following a win.

Total Runs Facts

• Nine of the Marlins’ last 12 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Three of the last four games between the Marlins and Tigers at Comerica Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six day games.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Tigers’ last five day games against National League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Javier Baez has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Colt Keith has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL opponents.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Colt Keith ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.354) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

• Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five road appearances against AL opponents.
• Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his 14 previous appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
• Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
• Xavier Edwards ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (20) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Tigers rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (9).
• The Tigers rank T27th in the league for home runs this season (9).
• The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (6).
• The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.200).

Tigers vs Marlins Prediction

The Tigers are going to get the benefit of the doubt with Skubal on the mound, but the value is with the plus money and the Marlins. We’re getting more than 1.5 times our money with Alcantara, who looks like he’s back in CY Young form, where he could’ve easily thrown back-to-back complete game shutouts. It was the manager who pulled him in his last effort and screwed his numbers up. Alcantara has a 0.74 ERA and 0.58 WHIP through 24.1 innings. He looks like he’s a top-10 pitcher in baseball again. Battle of superstar pitchers but one is getting plus money. Give me the Marlins.