Tigers vs Pirates Prediction 6/17/25 MLB Picks Today

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the Detroit Tigers meet Tuesday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tigers vs Pirates Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Pittsburgh Pirates will send out Bailey Falter for the start here, and Falter is 5-3 with a 3.36 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. This will be Falter’s first career start against the Pirates. Casey Mize will get the nod for the Tigers and is 6-2 with a 2.95 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. This will be Mize’s second career start against the Pirates,

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-2 loss at the hands of the Cubs last time out to sit at 29-44 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will head home for a series against the Texas Rangers.

Pirates Drop Back-To-Back Games To Lose Series Vs. Cubs

Bryan Reynolds has 61 hits with 10 doubles, 8 home runs, and 39 RBIs while also leading the Pirates with 80 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 13 home runs and 30 RBIs with 25 stolen bases, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 57 hits with 10 doubles and 9 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples this season. Tommy Pham has 4 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 57 hits with 11 doubles, and KeBryan Hayes has 57 hits with 19 RBIs and 9 stolen bases.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Pirates have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Tigers following a road loss.
• The Tigers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites following a home loss.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs following an extra innings loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last three home games against teams that held a losing record.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four road games against AL opponents.
• Andrew McCutchen has recorded a Double in five of his last six road appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Pirates’ last four road games against AL opponents.
• Adam Frazier has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Oneil Cruz ranks T1st in the league in Steals (25) this season.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 8-4 loss at the hands of the Cincinnati Reds last time out, to drop to 46-27 this season. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Tigers Drop Back-To-Back Games

Spencer Torkelson has 57 hits along with a .233 batting average, including a team-high 16 home runs, 15 doubles, and 47 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 13 home runs and 27 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 75 hits with 17 doubles, 14 home runs, and 49 RBIs, but also has a team-high 93 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 7 home runs and 29 RBIs, and Zack McKinstry’s added 10 doubles, 7 triples, 3 home runs, and 19 RBIs of his own, along with 59 hits this season. Javier Baez has added 58 hits and 12 doubles as well as 7 home runs and 32 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have lost six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight Tuesday night home games against NL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has recorded a Double in four of the Tigers’ last five games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
• Riley Greene has scored at least one run in each of the Tigers’ last six home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
• Casey Mize has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
• Wenceel Perez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jake Rogers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Matt Vierling has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last three home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Tigers’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.

Tigers vs Pirates Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. I get the case to be made for either side in this one, but you have two inconsistent offenses right now, and the Pirates have been consistently poor as of late, and two decent starting options right now. This just feels like a 3-2 or 4-3 kind of game for me, so give me the under here.