Tigers vs Twins Prediction 6/28/25 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins and the Detroit Tigers meet Saturday in MLB action from Comerica Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Tigers vs Twins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Minnesota Twins will send out Bailey Ober for the start here, and Ober is 4-5 with a 4.90 ERA and 69 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Detroit, Ober is 3-0 with a 1.16 ERA and 34 strikeouts. Casey Mize will get the start for Detroit here and is 7-2 with a 2.88 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Twins, Mize is 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 19 strikeouts.

Minnesota Twins Recap

The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to build on their 4-1 win over Detroit to start the series on Friday, sitting at 40-42 on the year. After this series, the Twins will head on the road for an interleague series against the Miami Marlins.

Twins Win Three In A Row

Byron Buxton has 68 hits along with 10 doubles, a team-high 17 home runs, and 48 RBIs with 13 stolen bases and 3 triples, while Carlos Correa has 67 hits with 14 doubles, and Willi Castro has 56 hits with 12 doubles as well. Harrison Bader added 7 home runs and 27 RBIs while Buxton contributed a team-high 73 strikeouts as well this season. Ty France has also added 76 hits, 15 doubles, 6 home runs, and 42 RBIs, and Trevor Larnach chipped in 73 hits with 12 doubles, 12 home runs, and 39 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Tigers have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a win.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Saturday games.
• The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against the Tigers.
• Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against the Tigers.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last nine day games.
• Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of the Twins’ last four games as road underdogs.
• Willi Castro has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Detroit Tigers Recap

The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to rebound from their loss to start the series on Friday, slipping to 51-32 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.

Tigers Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight Games

Spencer Torkelson has 61 hits along with a .224 batting average, including a team-high 17 home runs, 17 doubles, and 50 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 14 home runs and 29 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 91 hits with 21 doubles, 17 home runs, and 61 RBIs, but also has a team-high 102 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 34 RBIs, and Zack McKinstry’s added 11 doubles, 8 triples, 4 home runs, and 24 RBIs of his own along with 67 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 67 hits and 12 doubles as well as 9 home runs and 36 RBIs this season.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last six games against the Twins following a loss.
• The Twins have lost each of their last four day games against the Tigers following a win.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against AL Central opponents.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last five games against the Twins following a loss.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against AL opponents.
• Casey Mize has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Twins.
• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in each of the Tigers’ last five Saturday day games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.

Total Runs Facts

• Eight of the Twins’ last nine road games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Tigers’ last nine day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.

Tigers vs Twins Prediction

I’m on the Tigers here. Maybe the Twins are starting to heat up after a rough run of form, but I can’t in good conscience take the Twins with Bailey Ober on the mound here. Ober has been getting beat up in a lot of his recent starts. The Tigers have been doing some damage against right-handed pitching, and I think Detroit gets to Ober early and often here to start the series with a win. Give me Detroit here.