MLB Picks

Tigers vs Twins Prediction 6/29/25 MLB Picks Today

Minnesota Twins (40-43) vs. Detroit Tigers (52-32)
June 29, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Detroit Tigers -294 / Minnesota Twins 232; Over/Under: 6.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Tigers vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 29th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 52-32 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 1-4 and 10-5. In their game two win, Detroit trailed 2-1 in the third inning, but they scored the next seven runs to pull away with the win. The Tigers recorded 15 hits in the game and they were led by McKinstry, Perez, and Torres, who all had two RBIs in the win. Detroit started Mize, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Kahnle allowed two earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Athletics, but lost two out of three against the Rays before that. Detroit has won four of their last six games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 421 runs with a .255 batting average and a .325 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 18 home runs and 62 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 17 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 9-2 with a 2.29 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP over 102.0 innings pitched this year. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 40-43 this season after they lost game two by a score of 10-5 on Saturday afternoon. Minnesota grabbed an early 2-1 lead in the game, but they didn’t score between the third and eighth innings for the loss. The Twins recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Buxton and Correa, who both had two RBIs in the loss. Minnesota started Ober, who allowed 11 hits and seven earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Wentz allowed three earned runs in relief. 

Prior to this series, the Twins split four games with the Mariners, but lost all three against the Brewers before that. Minnesota has won three of their last four games and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .248 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 356 runs with a .242 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this season. Byron Buxton has led Minnesota with 19 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Trevor Larnach has added 12 home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Chris Paddack, who is 3-6 with a 4.64 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 85.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Tigers will beat the Twins

  • The Twins have lost six of their last seven road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have won 11 of their last 13 night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Tigers following a road loss.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road night games.

Why the Twins will beat the Tigers

  • The Tigers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Twins have won four of their last six games as road underdogs against the Tigers following a road loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Tigers.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four night games at Comerica Park.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Twins’ last four night games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Tigers’ last six night games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight night games between the Twins and Tigers at Comerica Park.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Twins.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded 11+ strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
  • Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against the Twins.
  • Matt Vierling has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Tarik Skubal ranks T2nd in the league for Wins (9) this season.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in each of the Twins’ last five games as road underdogs.
  • Chris Paddack has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Tigers after playing the previous day.
  • Byron Buxton ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.575) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (30).
  • The Tigers rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (18).
  • The Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (222).
  • The Twins rank 28th in the league for steals this season (40).

Tigers vs Twins Prediction 

Detroit bounced back with a nice win on Saturday afternoon to even this series at one, and they have scored at least eight runs in three of their last five games. The Tigers are 29-14 at home this year, while the Twins are 18-26 on the road. Minnesota is trying to gain some momentum after playing very poorly for a couple of weeks, but they are starting Paddack, who has allowed four earned runs or more in three straight outings. Detroit is going with Skubal, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. We saw Skubal allow four earned runs last time out and with this Minnesota offense starting to get hot, I think we can get over this low total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 6.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button