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Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 6-16-24 Picks

Cleveland Guardians (44-23) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (33-36)
June 16, 2024 1:37 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -136 / Cleveland Guardians +125; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cleveland Guardians and the Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB action from Rogers Centre. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Guardians played a couple of games versus the Cincinnati Reds this week. Cleveland won Tuesday’s matchup 5-3 before a game two loss 4-2. After a Friday victory 3-1 over Toronto, in game two the Guardians took a 5-0 shutout loss. Carlos Carrasco coughed up five earned on six hits and two walks in 5.0 innings of work.

In the starting pitcher role for the Guardians on Sunday it’ll be Ben Lively. This year Lively is 6-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 48 Ks in 55.2 innings over 10 starts. Lively is 14-19 with a 4.53 ERA in 55 career games (42 starts).

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

Over on the Blue Jays’ side, they took on the Milwaukee Brewers in their early-week series. Toronto won Tuesdays’ game 3-0 but dropped the other pair 3-1 and 5-4. After their loss in the opener to the Guardians, in game two the Jays were out-hit 8-7 in the victory. Bowden Francis did the most pitching work on 4.0 clean frames, four hits, no walks and two Ks.

Jose Berrios will take the starter role for the Blue Jays on Sunday. This year Berrios is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA in 14 starts. He has 64 Ks in 86.0 innings total. Berrios is 88-71 with a 4.07 ERA in 226 career games (225 starts). The Blue Jays will meet the Red Sox after this series.

Guardians vs Blue Jays Injury Notes

Blue Jays RP Jordan Romano (elbow) threw from 90 feet Friday. SP Yariel Rodriguez (back) will make one more rehab start Sunday with Triple-A Buffalo.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Guardians’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Five of the Blue Jays’ last six games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 13 home games against American League opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Daulton Varsho has recorded a Double in four of the Blue Jays’ last five games as home favorites.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • George Springer has hit a home run in four of his last seven home appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
  • Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one Single in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • George Springer has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
  • George Springer has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Berrios has recorded six or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 18 home appearances against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Andres Gimenez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Josh Naylor has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight road appearances against AL East opponents.
  • Andres Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction

I’ll just stay with the Guardians. Lively is rolling along pretty nicely right now. In his last three starts combined Lively is 3-0 with four earned runs in 17.2 total innings. As for Berrios, he’s coming off a loss to Milwaukee with three earned in 5.2 innings. Berrios had three earned in 13.0 combined innings prior to that, though.

On Saturday the Guardians had eight team hits but most of the production came from Steven Kwan and Josh Naylor with five hits between them. Cleveland needs to do better on both sides Sunday.

Andrew's Free Pick: Cleveland Guardians +125

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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