MLB Picks

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5-12-24 Picks

Minnesota Twins (23-16) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (18-21)
May 12, 2024 1:37 pm EDT
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays +121 / Minnesota Twins -143; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Minnesota Twins and Toronto Blue Jays meet Sunday in MLB game 3 action at Rogers Centre. Here’s a Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 23-16 on the season and play the Yankees after this. The Minnesota Twins have scored 22 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 9 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 10 of their last 12 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Willi Castro leads the Minnesota Twins with 36 hits and 14 RBI, while Ryan Jeffers and Carlos Santana have combined for 61 hits and 48 RBI.

Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 18-21 this season and play the Orioles after this game. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 17 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 4 of their last 8 games. The Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 of their last 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Toronto Blue Jays with 41 hits and 19 RBI, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa and Justin Turner have combined for 62 hits and 28 RBI.

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Pitching Matchup

Bailey Ober gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-1 with a 4.42 ERA and 35 strikeouts this season. Ober has allowed 9 hits and 6 runs in his last 11 innings. Ober has a 6.10 ERA and .259 allowed batting average in 20.2 road innings. Ober is 1-2 with a 4.40 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Toronto Blue Jays.

Alek Manoah gets the ball for the Toronto Blue Jays, and he is 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA and 6 strikeouts this season. Manoah is making just his 21st start since the 2023 season. Manoah allowed 6 earned runs and walked 4 in 4 innings against the Nationals a week ago. Manoah is 2-0 with a 3.09 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.

Why the Toronto Blue Jays will win

  • The Twins have lost each of their last nine Sunday games against AL East opponents.
  • The underdogs have won three of the Blue Jays’ last four games at Rogers Centre.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in five of the Twins’ last six games at Rogers Centre.
  • The Twins have lost the first inning in four of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last seven games as road favorites.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Twins have won each of their last nine games as road favorites following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have lost each of their last six games against the Twins following a win.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Blue Jays following a loss.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Twins following a win.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games.
  • The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last five games at Rogers Centre against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction

The Minnesota Twins should probably be the pick given that they’ve been able to string wins together over the last few weeks. However, I’m not excited to back either starting pitcher. Bailey Ober has been hittable this season, and he’s at his worst on the road with an ERA over 6. Alek Manoah has been a shell of himself the last couple of seasons, and he wasn’t good in his season debut against a subpar Nationals lineup. I’ll bank on both pitchers struggling and us seeing some fireworks on Sunday afternoon. Give me the over in the Twins – Blue Jays game.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Over 7.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button