Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Prediction 7-27-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 27th at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Blue Jays Looking to Snap Trend

The Toronto Blue Jays are 47-56 this season and they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Toronto won the first game in this series by a score of 6-5 on Friday night, but if that trend continues, they are due for a loss here. Prior to this series, the Blue Jays lost two out of three against the Rays, lost two out of three against the Tigers, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Toronto is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are last in the AL East. 

The Toronto pitching staff has a 4.54 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 416 runs with a .236 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero is batting .297 with 18 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Blue Jays this season. Toronto has allowed at least five runs in seven of their last ten games. 

Rangers Winning Streak Snapped 

The Texas Rangers are 51-53 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Texas lost the first game in this series on Friday night, which snapped their five game winning streak. Prior to this series, the Rangers swept the White Sox in four games, lost two out of three against the Orioles, and won two out of three against the Astros. Texas is 7-3 in their last 10 games and they are third in the AL West. 

The Texas pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 446 runs with a .240 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Wyatt Langford is batting .244 with five home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Rangers this season. Texas has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last six games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 8-8 with a 4.55 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP over 110.2 innings pitched this year. Gausman has allowed two earned runs in two of his last three starts. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Michael Lorenzen, who is 5-5 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 97.0 innings pitched this season. Lorenzen has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. 

Why the Rangers will beat the Blue Jays

• The Rangers have won each of their last 11 day games against AL East opponents.
• The Blue Jays have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents following a win.
• The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as favorites.
• The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Blue Jays.
• The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against the Blue Jays.
• The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday day games against the Blue Jays.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Blue Jays’ last 12 games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Eight of the Rangers’ last nine day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six day games between the Rangers and Blue Jays.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last three road games.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in five of the Blue Jays’ last eight games.
• Justin Turner has recorded a Double in three of the Blue Jays’ last four home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Justin Turner has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight home appearances against the Rangers.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays’ last eight home games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
• Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 11 Saturday appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one Single in 13 of his last 14 appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
• Danny Jansen has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

• Adolis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rangers as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
• Jonah Heim has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rangers’ last seven games against the Blue Jays.
• Adolis Garcia has scored at least one run in each of the Rangers’ last eight road games against AL East opponents.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances at Rogers Centre.
• Michael Lorenzen has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
• Jonah Heim has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rangers’ last nine games against the Blue Jays.
• Corey Seager has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against the Blue Jays.

Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers Prediction 

Toronto was able to pick up the win on Friday night in game one of this series and they ended Texas’ five game winning streak in the process. The Blue Jays are 24-28 at home, while the Rangers are 22-30 on the road this season. Texas has done most of their damage at home this season and while they aren’t very good on the road, they are right in the middle of the AL West race. The Rangers are going with Lorenzen, who has been inconsistent recently, but needs to really watch his walks. The Blue Jays are starting Gausman, who has also had an up and down season. I know Texas is not a very good road team, but I think they are the slightly better team and I think Lorenzen will find success. My Toronto Blue Jays vs Texas Rangers prediction is for the Rangers to get the win.