Guardians vs Tigers Prediction 7/6/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 6th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 40-47 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 2-1 and 1-0. In their game two loss, Cleveland pitched a very strong game, but they had zero offense in the shutout loss. The Guardians recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Ramirez and Rocchio, who both had one hit and one walk. Cleveland started Allen, who allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the loss, while three relievers combined for 3.0 scoreless innings. 

Prior to this series, the Guardians lost all three against the Cubs and all three against the Cardinals. Cleveland has lost nine games in a row and they are currently fourth in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 310 runs with a .224 batting average and a .296 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 14 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 13 home runs and 33 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 5-4 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 86.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 56-34 this season after they won game two by a score of 1-0 on Saturday night. Detroit took a 1-0 lead in the second inning and that was enough in the shutout win. The Tigers recorded just two hits in the game and they were led by Torkelson, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI in the win. Detroit started Mize, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Kahnle picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Nationals, but did win two out of three against the Twins before that. Detroit has won five of their last seven games and they are currently first in the AL Central standings. The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA with a 1.20 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 449 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this season. Riley Greene has led Detroit with 21 home runs and 69 RBIs, while Spencer Torkelson has added 20 home runs and 56 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 10-2 with a 2.15 ERA and a 0.83 WHIP over 109.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Tigers

• The Tigers have lost five of their last seven games as road favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Guardians have won six of their last seven day games against the Tigers at Progressive Field following a home loss.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents following a road win.
• The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Tigers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.

Why the Tigers will beat the Guardians

• The Guardians have lost each of their last nine games.
• The Tigers have won each of their last nine games as road favorites against the Guardians following a win.
• The Tigers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 day games against the Guardians following a win.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games at Progressive Field against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Guardians’ last five home games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Six of the Tigers’ last seven games as favorites against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last nine day games against American League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last seven day games against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Santana has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four games as favorites.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
• Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction 

Detroit has only scored a total of three runs in the first two games of this series, but their pitching has been fantastic and they are looking for the sweep here. The Tigers are 26-20 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 20-22 at home. Cleveland has lost nine games in a row and they have scored a total of one run in their last three. The Guardians are starting Williams, who has allowed seven earned runs and 12 hits over his last two starts. The Tigers are giving the ball to Skubal, who is one of the best pitchers in the MLB. I don’t trust the Cleveland offense at all, so give me the under here.