Twins vs Cubs Prediction 7/10/25 MLB Picks Today

The Chicago Cubs and Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs Cubs Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs Cubs Pick.

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 54-38 on the year and play the Yankees, Red Sox, and Royals next. The Chicago Cubs are batting .256 on the season, have a .326 OBP, and a .447 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Kyle Tucker leads the Chicago Cubs with 97 hits and 55 RBI, while Nico Hoerner and Pete Crow-Armstrong have combined for 190 hits and 105 RBI.

Colin Rea gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 6-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. This will be Rea’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 45-47 on the year and play the Pirates, Rockies, and Dodgers next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .240 on the season, have a .310 OBP, and a .396 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. Ty France leads the Minnesota Twins with 80 hits and 42 RBI, while Trevor Larnach and Carlos Correa have combined for 155 hits and 69 RBI.

Chris Paddack gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-7 with a 4.64 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season. Paddack is 1-1 with a 4.35 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a home win.
• The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
• The Cubs have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at Target Field.
• The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Target Field.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Cubs at Target Field.

Why the Chicago Cubs will win

• The Cubs have won each of their last 10 day games following a road loss.
• The Twins have lost six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 day games following a win.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Chris Paddack has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.
• Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one Double in five of his last six appearances with the Twins as home underdogs.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Carson Kelly has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last two day games.
• Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games as favorites.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (27) this season.

Twins vs Cubs Prediction

The Cubs are in a bit of a funk this week, and Rea has been hittable this season, especially on the road, where he has a 4.13 ERA and .287 allowed batting average in 32.2 innings. The Twins are quietly finishing the first half of the season strong, and Paddack has been at his best at home, where he has a 3.59 ERA and .236 allowed batting average. This is kind of surprising, the Twins are home dogs in this spot, but I’m not asking many questions. Give me the Twins.