Twins vs Mariners Prediction 6/23/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Twins vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 23, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.

Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

The Seattle Mariners (39-37, 19-18 Away) have swept the Cleveland Guardians, lost to the Boston Red Sox, and beat the Chicago Cubs in the most recent series. In the rubber match on Sunday, the Mariners defeated the Cubs 14-6, matching their season-high runs scored. Donovan Solano led the offense with two homers and five RBI, while Logan Gilbert got the win after allowing four runs on eight hits with six strikeouts and no walks in 5.0 innings.

This season, the Mariners average 4.57 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .248/.327/.408 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mariners’ staff has a 3.98 ERA (10th) and 1.22 WHIP (19th). Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners with a .276 batting average, 31 home runs, and 66 RBI this season.

Bryan Woo will take the mound for the Mariners on Monday. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 6-4 record in 14 starts this year with a 3.12 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 89.1 innings.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins (37-40, 20-15 Home) are playing their worst baseball of the season after losing nine of the previous ten games. The Twins were swept by the Houston Astros, lost to the Cincinnati Reds, and were swept by the Milwaukee Brewers. On Sunday, the Twins lost 9-8 to the Brewers. Byron Buxton, Ty France, and Ryan Jeffers led the offense with two RBI apiece, while David Festa took the loss after allowing eight runs on 12 hits with three strikeouts and three walks in 4.2 innings.

This year, the Twins average 4.26 runs per game (16th in the MLB) on a .244/.315/.396 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Twins’ staff has a 4.17 ERA (20th) and 1.26 WHIP (15th). Byron Buxton leads the Twins with a .285 batting average, 17 home runs, and 47 RBI this season.

The projected starting pitcher for the Twins is Bailey Ober, who is 4-4 in 15 starts this season, with a 4.54 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 79.1 innings.

Why the Mariners will beat the Twins

• The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
• The road team has won each of the Twins’ last four games.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Target Field against teams that held a winning record.
• The road team has covered the run line in six of the Twins’ last seven games.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Five of the Mariners’ last six road games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Twins’ last six home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Mariners’ last eight games as road favorites.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Twins’ last 10 home games against AL West opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Twins rank 22nd in the league for walks this season (230).
• The Twins rank 21st in the league for batting average this season (.244).
• The Mariners are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
• The Mariners rank 4th in the league for steals this season (77).

Twins vs Mariners Prediction

The Twins won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, but the Mariners were better in two of three H2Hs this season. I am going with Seattle in this one because Minnesota is struggling right now, and I don’t think the Twins can cope with Bryan Woo on the mound. Woo allowed three runs in 6.2 innings in a no-decision the last time he faced the Twins, and even though he had problems in the opening two starts in June, he bounced back with a shutout of the Red Sox the last time out. Bailey Ober, on the other hand, was also solid against the Mariners last month, but surrendered 16 runs in his previous three starts, and he will be under heavy fire here. Go with the Mariners.