Twins vs Mariners Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks Today

The Minnesota Twins are visiting the Seattle Mariners on Friday, May 30^th at the T-Mobile Park in the opening game of this series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Twins vs Mariners Prediction. We will examine:

The Seattle Mariners’ recent form and player performance

The Minnesota Twins’ recent form and player performance

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Seattle Mariners

Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Minnesota Twins

Recent betting trends in games played between the Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners game

Seattle Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners have a 29-23 record this season and are sitting in first place in the AL West. The Mariners have a 14-13 home record and 30-23 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-9 home defeat by the Nationals, and are 1-4 in their last 5 games. Over is 3-0 in their last 3 games, and they are playing the Orioles and the Angels next.

The Mariners have a .237 batting average this season, a .324 OBP, and a .394 Slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Cal Raleigh leads the Mariners in hits with 52, in RBI with 37, and in home runs with 19. He is the team’s best hitter with a .260 batting average.

Bryan Woo (R) will take the mound for the Mariners, and he has a 5-2 record, 2.40 ERA, and 0.93 WHIP. He has been dominating at home with a 0.93 ERA across three home starts, and he has been in excellent form with just one earned run in 19.1 innings pitched across his last three starts. In his only previous start against the Twins back in 2023, he got shelled for 6 earned runs across 3.1 innings pitched.

Minnesota Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins have a 30-25 record this season and are sitting in third place in the AL Central. The Twins have a 12-17 road record and are 18-32 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-5 road defeat by the Rays, and are 1-3 in their last 4 games. Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 games and are playing the Athletics and the Blue Jays next.

The Twins have a .236 batting average this season, a .305 OBP, and a .375 Slugging percentage. Minnesota’s pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Ty France leads the Twins with 49 hits and a team-high 30 RBI. Byron Buxton leads the team in home runs, with 10, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .261 batting average.

Zebby Matthews (R) will take the mound for the Twins, and he has a 0-1 record, 7.71 ERA, and 2.00 WHIP. In his only road start this season, he struggled, giving up 4 runs in just 3 innings of work. This will be his first career start against the Mariners.

Why the Seattle Mariners will win

• The Mariners have won each of their last four games at T-Mobile Park following an extra-innings loss.
• The Twins have lost three of their last four games.
• The Mariners have covered the run line in five of their last six games against American League opponents after going to extra innings.
• The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games.
• The Mariners have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
• The Mariners have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mariners have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

• The Twins have won each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Mariners have lost each of their last five games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a loss.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six night games at T-Mobile Park against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have won the first inning in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.
• The Twins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL West opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Mariners’ last 11 games as home favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Six of the Twins’ last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last seven games against AL West opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last four games as favorites against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Mariners rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (68).
• The Mariners rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (213).
• The Twins rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (133).
• The Twins rank 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (190).

Twins vs Mariners Prediction

The Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 overall meetings against the Mariners, and won their only series in Seattle last season by 2-1 wins. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Twins vs Mariners Prediction, the Mariners are coming as -160 home favorites. Both teams have almost identical records, but the Twins have been struggling on the road. The Twins had yesterday off, but the Mariners played yesterday at home, so they should be fresh for this one, as they did not have to travel. The Mariners have a huge pitching advantage as Woo takes the mound, and he has been in excellent form lately, and almost unhittable at home this season. Matthews did not look good in his two starts this season, so the value here lies with the home team, as long as those two pitchers are on the mound. Take the Seattle Mariners on the moneyline in the first 5 innings.