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Twins vs Marlins Prediction 5/13/26 MLB Picks Today

Miami Marlins (19-23) vs. Minnesota Twins (19-23)
May 13, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins 104 / Miami Marlins -126; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action at Target Field. Here’s a Twins vs. Marlins Prediction. This article will include a Twins vs. Marlins Pick.

Miami Marlins Betting Preview

The Miami Marlins are 19-23 on the year and play the Rays and Braves next. The Miami Marlins are batting .244 on the season, have a .322 OBP, and have a .372 slugging percentage. The Miami Marlins’ pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Otto Lopez leads the Miami Marlins with 55 hits and 17 RBI, while Xavier Edwards and Liam Hicks have combined for 85 hits and 49 RBI.

Max Meyer gets the ball for the Miami Marlins, and he is 2-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. This will be Meyer’s first career game against the Minnesota Twins.

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 19-23 on the year and play the Astros and Brewers next. The Minnesota Twins are batting .235 on the season and have a .324 OBP, and a .381 slugging percentage. The Minnesota Twins’ pitching staff has a 4.51 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. Byron Buxton leads the Minnesota Twins with 42 hits and 21 RBI, while Luke Keaschall and Brooks Lee have combined for 71 hits and 39 RBI.

Simeon Woods Richardson gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 0-5 with a 6.92 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. Woods Richardson is 1-0 with a 6.00 ERA and 5 strikeouts in his career against the Miami Marlins.

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The underdogs have won seven of the Marlins’ last eight games at Target Field.
  • The Marlins have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against American League opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Marlins and Twins.
  • The Twins have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 home games.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Twins have lost seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Marlins have won each of their last four games against the Twins following a loss.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Marlins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games at Target Field.
  • The Marlins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Marlins and Twins has gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six night games at Target Field.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Marlins’ last 10 games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last three games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Trevor Larnach has recorded a hit in each of the Twins’ last six games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Byron Buxton ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (13) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Jakob Marsee has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 games as road favorites.
  • Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (55) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Twins rank T27th in the league for strikeouts this season (317).
  • The Twins rank T24th in the league for triples this season (3).
  • The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (48).
  • The Marlins rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (8).

Twins vs Marlins Prediction

After being shut out last night, the scrappy Marlins should be in for a bounce-back effort here. Woods Richardson has been a train wreck through 39 innings with a 6.92 ERA and 1.72 WHIP. In 16.1 home innings, Woods Richardson has a 6.06 ERA and .343 allowed batting average. In 9 innings this month, Woods Richardson has allowed 13 hits and 9 earned runs.

Meyer is looking more and more like the Marlins’ second-best starter and somebody who can blossom into an all-star. Through 42 frames, Meyer has a 2.79 ERA and 1.10 WHIP and he’s averaging more than a strikeout per inning. We’re getting a soft price with the fish. Give me the road team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Marlins -126

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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