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Twins vs Royals Prediction 7/29/26 MLB Picks Today

Kansas City Royals (45-63) vs. Minnesota Twins (54-54)
July 29, 2026 7:40 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Twins -184 / Kansas City Royals 151; Over/Under: 9
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In this article we will formulate a Twins vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 29th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Minnesota Twins Betting Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 54-54 this year after they won game one by a score of 3-2 on Tuesday. Minnesota led 1-0 in the fourth inning, but they needed two runs in the ninth inning to escape with the win. The Twins recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Lewis, who went 1-1 with two RBIs. Bradley allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Anderson got the win. Prior to this series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Athletics and split four games with the Guardians. 

This season, Minnesota has a 4.65 ERA with a 1.38 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 514 runs with a .247 batting average and a .321 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 13 home runs and 63 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Joe Ryan, who is 6-6 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 114.1 innings pitched this year. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 45-63 this season after they lost game one by a score of 2-3 last night. Kansas City led 2-1 in the sixth inning, but the bullpen collapsed once again for the loss. The Royals recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Perez, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Lugo allowed six hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Lange blew the save and picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Kansas City split four games with the Tigers and swept the Giants in three games. 

This season, Kansas City has a 4.83 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while they have scored 452 runs with a .245 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Carter Jensen has led the Royals with 14 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bobby Witt has added 13 home runs and 39 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Randy Dobnak, who is 0-0 with a 1.42 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 19.0 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Minnesota Twins will win

  • The Royals have lost each of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have won each of their last six night games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday games against American League opponents.
  • The Twins have covered the run line in four of their last five games after playing the previous day.
  • The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • The Royals have won five of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Twins have lost 12 of their last 18 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Royals’ last 11 games.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Royals’ last seven night games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Seven of the Twins’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Royals’ last eight night games.
  • There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Twins’ last five home games against AL Central opponents.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

  • Joe Ryan has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Joe Ryan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
  • Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in 11 of his last 17 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
  • Victor Caratini has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 home appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Kody Clemens is one of only eight players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

  • Salvador Perez has hit a home run in four of the Royals’ last 10 games.
  • Randy Dobnak has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL Central opponents.
  • Nick Loftin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last eight games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.65).
  • The Twins rank 25th in the league for ERA this season (4.65).
  • The Royals rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (196).
  • The Royals rank T2nd in the league for doubles this season (196).

Twins vs Royals Prediction 

Minnesota comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Twins are 29-26 at home this year, while the Royals are 19-36 on the road. Kansas City has won two of their last three games and they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Royals are starting Dobnak, who has allowed three earned runs in 19.0 innings, while Ryan has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, but did allow eight earned runs last time out. Take the under here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 9

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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