Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5-7-24 Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 7th at Nationals Park. 

Nationals Coming off a Big Win

The Nationals are coming off a big win on Sunday, scoring 11 runs on the way to the victory. At one point during the game the Nationals were down 6-1, but the offense kept fighting, and it was five runs during the 4th inning that was the difference. Jesse Winker had a strong game, finishing with a home run while driving in three RBIs. The Nationals are averaging 4.18 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.47 runs per game. The offense is ranked 18th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 20th. They currently have a run differential of -0.29 which is 19th in the league. CJ Abrams has hit seven home runs and driven in 19 RBIs. Getting the start for the Nationals will be Trevor Williams, who sits with a 3-0 record and an ERA of 2.27. In his last start against the Rangers, he went five innings giving up five hits and zero runs. 

Orioles Have Won Four Straight

The Orioles have played well heading into this game, and they have won four games in a row. In the last game, the Orioles faced off against the Cincinnati Reds, and they were able to secure an 11-1 victory. The Orioles jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first inning, and they never looked back on the way to the victory. The Orioles are averaging 5.12 runs, while their pitching is giving up 3.76 runs per game. The offense is ranked 4th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 5th. Getting the start for the Orioles will be Corbin Burnes who sits with a 3-1 record and an ERA of 2.61. In his last start against the Yankees, he went six innings, giving up four hits and two runs. Two games ago against the Oakland Athletics, he went six innings, giving up three hits and one run. 

Why the Washington Nationals will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Trevor Williams Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 2.27
• The Orioles have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The underdogs have won five of the Orioles’ last six games.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 Tuesday games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Nationals have covered the run line each of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as road favorites against National League opponents.

Why the Baltimore Orioles will win

• Probable Starting Pitcher: Corbin Burnes Record this season: 3-1 ERA: 2.61
• The Orioles have won each of their last 13 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have lost each of their last seven night games at Nationals Park following a win.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games at Nationals Park following a win.
• The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine road games against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last 11 games between the Orioles and Nationals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Orioles’ last nine games as favorites against the Nationals have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last four night games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Orioles and Nationals at Nationals Park.

Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction

The Nationals and Orioles are going to be involved in a pitchers’ duel here. Williams sits with an ERA of 2.27 while Burnes sits with an ERA of 2.61. Both of these pitchers are going to really step up here. The Nationals’ offense is ranked 18th in the league, and that number is going to go down after this game. The Orioles are also going to really struggle to get the offense going here, and this game is going to stay under the total. Pick the under to cash.