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Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction 6-16-24 Picks

Miami Marlins (23-47) vs. Washington Nationals (34-36)
June 16, 2024 1:35 pm EDT
The Line: Washington Nationals -113 / Miami Marlins +103; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Marlins and the Washington Nationals meet Sunday in MLB action from Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Miami Marlins will send out Jesus Luzardo for the start here and Luzardo is 3-5 with a 5.11 ERA and 56 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Washington, Luzardo is 1-1 with a 4.78 ERA and 21 strikeouts. Mitchell Parker will get the start for the Nationals and is 4-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. This will be Parker’s second career start against Miami.

Miami Marlins Recap

The Miami Marlins will try to salvage something from this series after falling flat in a 4-0 loss in Saturday’s matchup. It was yet another series loss for the Marlins though, following up series losses to the Mets, Guardians and Rays over the last week and a half.

Marlins Still Struggling Offensively

Bryan De La Cruz has 66 hits including 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 30 RBIs while Josh Bell has 12 doubles, 7 home runs and 31 RBIs of his own. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has a team-high 67 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 10 home runs, 33 RBIs and a team-high 13 stolen bases while Jesus Sanchez has 6 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the Miami Marlins will win

  • The Nationals have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The underdogs have won four of the last six games between the Marlins and Nationals.
  • The road team has covered the run line in 13 of the last 15 games between the Marlins and Nationals.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.

Washington Nationals Recap

The Washington Nationals come into this one looking to keep the ball rolling and complete the sweep after their win over the Fish on Saturday. The win kept the Nationals series win streak alive after wins over the Tigers and Braves over the last week.

Nationals Starting To Pick It Up At The Plate

CJ Abrams leads the Nationals with 67 hits along with 11 home runs and 36 RBIs to go along with 15 doubles, 5 triples and 10 stolen bases. Luis Garcia Jr. has a team-high 12 doubles with 28 RBIs and 9 stolen bases. Jacob Young has a team-high 17 stolen bases while Lane Thomas has 16 stolen bases and Jesse Winker has 11 stolen bases this season. Joey Meneses also has 36 RBIs as well this season.

Why the Washington Nationals will win

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last 10 games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The favorites have won each of the Marlins’ last 10 games at Nationals Park.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Marlins following a win.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against the Marlins.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.
  • The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins Prediction

I’m on the Nationals here. Jesus Luzardo is one of the better pitchers that the Marlins have in that rotation, but once again, as it has been for the last couple of years, run support continues to be an issue as the Marlins simply can’t score enough to help their starting pitchers. I think the Nationals do enough to back up Parker here and to complete the sweep of their division rival in this one. Give me the Nationals at home.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Washington -113

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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