Washington Nationals vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 4-5-24 Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals meet Friday in MLB action at Nationals Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Nationals prediction.

Phillies Betting Preview

The Phillies are 2-4 on the season after losses to the Braves and Reds. The Phillies pitching hasn’t been great up to this point, allowing 4 or more runs in all 6 games this season. The Phillies need to get their pitching in order as they start this 6-game road trip. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 7 hits and 3 RBI, while Brandon Marsh and Alec Bohm have combined for 11 hits and 7 RBI. Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Phillies, and he is 0-1 with a 12.46 ERA and 3 strikeouts this season. Nola is 7-8 with a 3.87 ERA and 182 strikeouts in his career against the Nationals.

Nationals Betting Preview

The Nationals look to rebound from a 2-4 start after losses to the Reds and Pirates. The Nationals have allowed 18 runs in their last 3 games and 6 or more runs in 5 of their first 6 games. The Nationals are 1-4 this season when allowing 4 or more runs. CJ Abrams leads the Nationals with 8 hits and 5 RBI, while Jesse Winker and Luis Garcia Jr. have combined for 12 hits and 4 RBI. Patrick Corbin gets the ball for the Nationals, and he is 0-0 with a 8.31 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season. Corbin is 6-9 with a 4.74 ERA and 94 strikeouts in his career against the Phillies.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

• The Nationals have lost each of their last 10 night games against the Phillies at Nationals Park following a loss.
• The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Phillies and Nationals at Nationals Park.
• The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
• The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

• The Phillies have won each of their last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents.
• The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last six road openers against National League opponents.

Phillies vs Nationals prediction

The Phillies and Nationals pitching staff has gotten rocked up to this point, so I’d consider the over. However, I’m going to side with the Phillies. Aaron Nola is better than what he showed in his season debut, while Patrick Corbin has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball over the years. Also, I trust the Phillies bats far more than I do the Nationals. Nola is an all star caliber pitcher, and he’s had success against the Nationals in his career. Since 2020, Corbin has a 5.64 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. No, thanks. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value.