
White Sox vs Brewers Prediction 5/1/25 MLB Picks Today
Milwaukee Brewers (16-15) vs. Chicago White Sox (7-23)
May 1, 2025 2:10 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago White Sox +150 / Milwaukee Brewers -180; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago White Sox meet Thursday in MLB action from Rate Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a White Sox vs Brewers Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Chad Patrick for the start here, and Patrick is 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. This will be Patrick’s first career start against the White Sox. Sean Burke will get the start for the White Sox here, and Burke is 1-4 with a 6.00 ERA and 20 strikeouts this season. This will be Burke’s first career start against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their 6-4 win over the White Sox from Wednesday’s matchup to improve to 16-15 on the year. After this series, the Brewers will head home for a division series against the Chicago Cubs.
Brewers Win Three In A Row
Brice Turang has a team-high 37 hits with 3 home runs, 15 RBIs, and 8 stolen bases, while Jackson Chourio has 35 hits with a team-high 11 doubles, 6 home runs, and 23 RBIs, and Sal Frelick has 31 hits as well as 2 triples and 7 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 6 stolen bases with 5 homers and 23 RBIs while also adding 3 doubles. Chourio also has a team-high 30 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 3 homers and 16 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The White Sox have lost each of their last 17 home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in each of the Brewers’ last three day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last six games as road favorites.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 road appearances.
- Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Thursday day appearances with the Brewers as favorites.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances.
- Brice Turang ranks T5th in the league in Hits (38) this season.
Chicago White Sox Recap
The Chicago White Sox will be out to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Brewers in Wednesday’s matchup to fall to 7-23 on the year. After this series, the White Sox will welcome the Houston Astros to town for a weekend set.
White Sox Drop Three Straight
Lenyn Sosa leads the White Sox with 26 hits, including 4 doubles and 7 RBIs. Andrew Benintendi has 15 hits, including 4 home runs, 9 RBIs, and a .217 batting average, while Miguel Vargas has a team-high 6 doubles and 8 RBIs. Brooks Baldwin has also added 13 RBIs, while Luis Robert Jr. has a team-high 10 stolen bases so far this season. Nick Maton also has a pair of home runs for the White Sox, while Andrew Vaughn has 3 home runs and 11 RBIs as well this season.
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four day games following a road win.
- The White Sox have won each of their last three day games following a loss.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Miguel Vargas has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Miguel Vargas has recorded at least one RBI in five of his last six appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one Single in eight of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Austin Slater has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Robert ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (12) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last nine road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the White Sox’s last six games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
White Sox vs Brewers Prediction
I’m on the Brewers in this one. I get the case to be made for a home underdog in a lot of spots, but for me, this spot isn’t one of them. I thought that the Brewers’ best shot at a win in this series was with Shane Smith on the mound on Wednesday, and they fell short. I think Milwaukee’s just the better team, and Patrick is a solid option; the bats have just fallen flat behind him at times. I think the Brewers complete the sweep, so give me Milwaukee here.