
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction 7/9/25 MLB Picks Today
Seattle Mariners (48-43) vs. NY Yankees (50-41)
July 9, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -150 / Seattle Mariners +123; Over/Under: 9.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Seattle Mariners and the New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Yankees vs Mariners Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Seattle Mariners will send out Logan Evans for the start here and Evans is 3-2 with a 2.96 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. This will be Evans’ first career start against the Yankees. Cam Schlittler will be making his major league debut for the Yankees in this game.
Seattle Mariners Recap
The Seattle Mariners come into this game looking to bounce back from their 10-3 loss at the hands of the Yankees on Tuesday to slip to 48-43 on the year. After this series, the Mariners will head on the road for a series against the Detroit Tigers.
Mariners Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Jorge Polanco has 62 hits including 12 home runs and 39 RBIs while Cal Raleigh has 88 hits with 16 doubles, a team-high 36 home runs and 76 RBIs. Randy Arozarena has 81 hits with 20 doubles, 14 home runs, 42 RBIs and 15 stolen bases. Julio Rodriguez also has 92 hits with 14 doubles, 3 triples, 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 15 stolen bases. Dylan Moore has 9 homers and 9 stolen bases as well this season. Rowdy Tellez has also added 11 home runs and 27 RBIs while J.P Crawford has 93 hits with 12 doubles, 6 home runs and 31 RBIs.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The Yankees have lost five of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Mariners have won four of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday night home games.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last four games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last nine games.
- Randy Arozarena has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mariners’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Cal Raleigh ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (36) this season.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their win over Seattle from Tuesday’s matchup to sit at 50-41 this season. After this series, the Yankees will take on the Chicago Cubs at home.
Yankees Pick Up Back-To-Back Wins
Aaron Judge leads the Yankees with 121 hits including 34 home runs, 75 RBIs, 21 doubles and a .360 batting average along with 6 stolen bases. Anthony Volpe’s also had 21 doubles with 10 stolen bases, 10 home runs and 48 RBIs while Jasson Dominguez has added 14 doubles of his own. Paul Goldschmidt has 92 hits with 20 doubles and a .290 batting average while Volpe also has 90 strikeouts so far this season. Ben Rice also has 59 hits with 14 doubles, 14 home runs and 31 RBIs while Cody Bellinger has 13 homers with 47 RBIs and Austin Wells has 14 home runs and 50 RBIs with Bellinger logging 17 doubles and Wells chipping in 14 doubles. Trent Grisham also has 16 home runs and 33 RBIs so far this season.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last seven night games against AL West opponents following a win.
- The Mariners have lost each of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in five of their last six games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st in the league in Hits (121) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last nine games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mariners’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Yankees vs Mariners Prediction
I’m backing the over here. I think the Yankees can lead through the first five here, but the Yankees also have the worst bullpen ERA so far in the month of July. Not only that, but I think when all is said and done here, this game’s going to end up hitting double-digits, whether it’s a close game or a one-sided affair. Give me the over here.