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Yankees vs Nationals Prediction 8/25/25 MLB Picks Today

Washington Nationals (53-77) vs. NY Yankees (70-60)
August 25, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -241 / Washington Nationals 193; Over/Under: 9
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In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 25th at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 70-60 this season after they lost three out of four against Boston by scores of 3-6, 0-1, 1-12, and 7-2. In their game four win, New York scored the first five runs in the game and they cruised to the easy victory. The Yankees recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Chisholm Jr, who went 2-4 with two home runs and four RBIs in the win. New York started Rodon, who allowed one hit and two earned runs over 5.2 innings for the win, while Weaver and Williams picked up holds. 

Prior to that series, the Yankees won both games against the Rays and all three against the Cardinals. New York has won six of their last nine games and they are currently third in the AL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 667 runs with a .250 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Aaron Judge has led New York with 40 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 24 home runs and 75 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 1-2 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 36.1 innings pitched this season. 

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 53-77 this year after they lost two out of three against Philadelphia by scores of 5-4, 4-6, and 2-3. In their game three loss, Washington struggled at the plate, but scored once in the eighth and once in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Nationals recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Garcia Jr, who went 1-1 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Washington started Irvin, who allowed six hits and three earned runs over 2.1 innings for the loss, while four pitchers combined to pitch the final 5.2 innings. 

Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Mets and split four games with the Phillies. Washington has won three of their last five games and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.31 ERA with a 1.44 WHIP and a .270 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 557 runs with a .244 batting average and a .308 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 26 home runs and 83 RBIs, while CJ Abrams has added 17 home runs and 51 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Brad Lord, who is 4-6 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 96.1 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Yankees will beat the Nationals

  • The Yankees have won each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have lost each of their last six Monday night road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Monday night games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last three home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Nationals’ last 10 night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Yankees’ last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five home games.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last five road games against American League opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in three of the Yankees’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
  • Jose Caballero ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Paul DeJong has recorded a hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
  • Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two games as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (215).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.452).
  • The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.31).
  • The Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.270).

Yankees vs Nationals Prediction 

New York was able to get a much needed win on Sunday night to avoid being swept and they need to take advantage of some weaker competition here. The Yankees are 38-28 at home this year, while the Nationals are 27-38 on the road. Washington is starting Lord, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. New York is going with Schlittler, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight outings. Take the Yankees by at least two runs here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Yankees -1.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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