Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction 8/23/25 MLB Picks Today
Boston Red Sox (70-59) vs. NY Yankees (69-59)
August 23, 2025 1:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees 104 / Boston Red Sox -127; Over/Under: 8
(Get latest betting odds)
The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees meet Saturday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Red Sox Pick.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 70-59 on the year and play the Orioles, Pirates, and Guardians next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .252 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .424 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 130 hits and 69 RBI, while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 230 hits and 131 RBI.
Garrett Crochet gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 13-5 with a 2.43 ERA and 196 strikeouts this season. Crochet is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 22 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 69-59 on the year and play the Nationals, White Sox, and Astros next. The New York Yankees are batting .250 on the season, have a .330 OBP, and a .451 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 140 hits and 92 RBI while Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have combined for 240 hits and 117 RBI.
Will Warren gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he is 7-5 with a 4.25 ERA and 143 strikeouts this season. This will be Warren’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost four of their last five games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in six of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The road team has won each of the Yankees’ last eight games.
- The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Yankees’ last six games.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Yankees as home underdogs against the Red Sox.
- Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
- Aaron Judge ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.327) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Alex Bregman has hit a home run in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as road favorites.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last five Saturday games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last nine day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Garrett Crochet ranks 2nd in the league for total Strikeouts (196) this season.
Yankees vs Red Sox Prediction
We’ve hit on the Red Sox twice in this series, and we’re getting Crochet at a cheap price. Crochet has a 2.43 ERA and 1.07 WHIP on the season, and he has a 2.52 ERA and .228 allowed batting average in 82 road innings. The Red Sox have won 10 of the last 13 games Crochet has pitched. Warren is having a strong August, but he has a 4.25 ERA and 1.37 WHIP on the season. I’ll side with the Red Sox and the cheap price, as we look for a third straight win with Boston.