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Yankees vs Royals Prediction 4/16/25 MLB Picks Today

Kansas City Royals (8-10) vs. NY Yankees (10-7)
April 16, 2025 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -170 / Kansas City Royals 142; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Kansas City Royals and New York Yankees meet Wednesday in MLB action at Yankee Stadium. Here’s a Yankees vs Royals Prediction. This article will include a Yankees vs Royals Pick.

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 8-10 on the year and play the Tigers, Rockies, and Astros next. The Kansas City Royals are batting .208 on the season, have a .276 OBP, and a .312 slugging percentage. The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has a 3.28 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP. Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Kansas City Royals with 21 hits and 8 RBI, while Maikel Garcia and Salvador Perez have combined for 30 hits and 18 RBI.

Kris Bubic gets the ball for the Kansas City Royals, and he is 2-1 with a 0.96 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. Bubic is 0-2 with a 3.45 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the New York Yankees.

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 10-7 on the year and play the Rays, Guardians, and Blue Jays next. The New York Yankees are batting .257 on the season, have a .342 OBP, and a .487 slugging percentage. The New York Yankees’ pitching staff has a 4.29 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Aaron Judge leads the New York Yankees with 24 hits and 20 RBI, while Paul Goldschmidt and Ben Rice have combined for 37 hits and 13 RBI.

Clarke Schmidt gets the ball for the New York Yankees, and he was 5-5 with a 2.85 ERA and 93 strikeouts last season. Schmidt is 2-0 with a 3.29 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Kansas City Royals.

Why the New York Yankees will win

  • The Royals have lost each of their last 10 Wednesday night road games against AL East opponents.
  • The favorites have won each of the Royals’ last 10 games.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against American League opponents.

Why the Kansas City Royals will win

  • The Royals have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Yankees following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites following a win.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday games as favorites.
  • The Royals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games against American League opponents.
  • The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday night games as road underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Yankees rank T1st in the league for home runs this season (32).
  • The Yankees rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.487).
  • The Royals rank T28th in the league for home runs this season (10).
  • The Royals rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.312).

Yankees vs Royals Prediction

The Yankees are going to be favored because they’re at home, and they’re a public team. However, the value is with the Royals and the plus money. Schmidt hasn’t pitched this season due to a shoulder injury, and who knows what to expect in terms of form and how long he’s capable of pitching. The Royals are due for an offensive breakthrough after scoring four or fewer runs in 11 straight games, and maybe facing a pitcher who doesn’t have his feet under him is what the doctor ordered. Bubic has also been fabulous, allowing 13 hits and two earned runs in 18.2 innings. I’ll take a shot with the Royals and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Kansas City Royals +142

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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