Yankees vs Tigers Prediction 7/1/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Yankees vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 1st at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 48-37 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 3-7 and 3-9. In game two, New York allowed nine runs in the first six innings and never had a chance in the ugly loss. The Yankees recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rice, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Schlittler allowed seven hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Yarbrough allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all four against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Tigers before that. 

This season, New York has a 3.36 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 415 runs with a .237 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 23 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 49 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Will Warren, who is 7-3 with a 3.75 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 84.0 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 37-49 this season after they won game two by a score of 9-3 on Tuesday. Detroit scored four runs in the first inning and never looked back in the blowout win. The Tigers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Greene, who went 2-4 with two home runs and three RBIs. Skubal allowed one hit and one earned run over 6.0 innings for the win, while Holton allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit lost three out of four against the Astros and two out of three against the Yankees. 

This season, Detroit has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while they have scored 360 runs with a .236 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 19 home runs and 59 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 11 home runs and 37 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Troy Melton, who is 4-1 with a 2.39 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP over 37.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
• The Tigers have lost four of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
• The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against American League opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine day games at Yankee Stadium against AL Central opponents.

Why the Detroit Tigers will win

• The Tigers have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last six games.
• The Tigers have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
• The Tigers have won the first inning in five of their last six road games against AL East opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
• The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the last seven games between the Tigers and Yankees at Yankee Stadium have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Tigers’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last nine Wednesday day games at Yankee Stadium.
• There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Tigers’ last six road games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Ben Rice has hit a home run in four of the Yankees’ last five home games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
• Will Warren has recorded six or more strikeouts in 11 of his last 13 home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
• Anthony Volpe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
• Will Warren has recorded a win in six of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Jazz Chisholm ranks T3rd in the league in Steals (24) this season.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

• Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in three of his last four road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Troy Melton has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
• Troy Melton has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances in day games.
• Matt Vierling has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against AL East opponents.
• Kevin McGonigle ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.397) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (122).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.30).
• The Tigers rank 28th in the league for steals this season (30).
• The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (16).

Yankees vs Tigers Prediction

New York comes into this matchup on a six game losing streak and they have allowed 5+ runs in four of their last five games. The Yankees are 22-17 at home this year, while the Tigers are 14-28 on the road. Detroit has won three of their last five games and they have scored 5+ runs in all five of those contests. The Tigers are starting Melton, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, while Warren has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings. Take the under here.