UFC Vegas 16: Marvin Vettori vs. Jack Hermansson Picks, Odds, and Predictions

UFC Vegas 16: Marvin Vettori vs. Jack Hermansson Picks, Odds, and Predictions Photo by Handout Photo-USA TODAY Sports

Jack Hermansson vs. Marvin Vettori

Saturday, December 5, 2020 at 10:00 PM (UFC APEX)

The Line: Marvin Vettori -130 / Jack Hermansson +110 -- Over/Under: Click to Get Latest Betting Odds

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Jack Hermansson and Marvin Vettori fight Saturday in UFC Vegas 16 at the UFC APEX.

Jack Hermansson enters this fight with a 21-5 record and has won 52 percent of his fights by knockout. Hermansson has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a July win over Kelvin Gastelum. Hermansson is averaging 5.08 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48 percent. Hermansson is averaging 2.19 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 35 percent. Hermansson is coming off a first round submission win at UFC Fight Night 172, a fight that produced a combined nine total strikes. Hermansson has now produced submissions in three of his last four wins and has won 16 of his last 19 fights overall. Hermansson has an aggressive standup approach where he’s constantly forcing the issue and throwing these strong overhand strikes that have some knockout pop. Hermansson is also a pretty successful takedown artist with a wrestling background that goes way way back to when he was a child. Hermansson is well conditioned and kind of mucks things up in the octagon a bit, but he’s still produced finishes in six of his last seven victories. Hermansson just finds ways to win, even if his style isn’t always the prettiest. This will be Hermansson’s first career fight in Las Vegas.

Marvin Vettori enters this fight with a 15-4-1 record and has won 60 percent of his fights by submission. Vettori has won seven of his last 10 fights and is coming off a June win over Karl Roberson. Vettori is averaging 4.33 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 43 percent. Vettori is averaging 1.67 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 47 percent. Vettori is coming off a first round submission win at UFC Vegas 2 that earned performance of the night. Vettori has won each of his last three fights, and he’s coming off his first finish since UFC 202. Vettori is a balanced fighter who could soon become a star given that he’s only 27 years old. Vettori is highly skilled on his feet where he throws violent combinations, but he’s also quite an athlete for his size and loves to throw knees out of nowhere, which we saw against Omari Akhmedov. Vettori is also highly effective in the clinch and has good scrambling skills that allow him to survive on the canvas. Three of Vettori’s last four submission victories have come via the guillotine choke. This will be Vettori’s fifth career fight in Las Vegas.

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Vettori is a tricky southpaw striker who probably has the edge on the feet and has enough BJJ to hold his own on the ground. However, Hermansson is just one of those grizzly veterans who doesn’t beat himself and is a nightmare on the ground. Hermansson is somebody I look to back whenever getting the plus money, as you know you’re going to get an honest effort.

Give me Hermansson and the plus money. 

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Randy’s Pick Jack Hermansson +110

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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