UFC on ESPN+ 48: Ovince Saint Preux vs Tanner Boser Picks, Odds, Predictions

Tanner Boser vs Ovince Saint Preux
June 26, 2021 11:30 pm EDT
The Line: Ovince Saint Preux +150 / Tanner Boser -175
(Click here for latest betting odds)

Tanner Boser and Ovince Saint Preux fight Saturday in UFC on ESPN+ 48 at the UFC Apex. Boser enters this fight with a 19-8-1 record and has won 53 percent of his fights by knockout. Saint Preux enters this fight with a 25-15 record and has won 48 percent of his fights by knockout. 

Boser has split his last eight fights and is coming off a June loss to Ilir Latifi. He is averaging 4.21 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 52 percent. Boser is averaging zero takedowns with an accuracy percentage of zero percent. 

Boser is coming off a decision loss at UFC Vegas 28 where he landed 84 total strikes and 42 percent of his significant strikes. It’s a controversial decision, but Boser has now lost back-to-back fights and three of his last five bouts overall. He hopes to avoid three straight losses for the first time in his career.

The Bulldozer is a black belt in Shitō-ryū and a purple belt in BJJ. Boser relies on his cardio, hand speed and leg kicks. He works the legs well and three of his last four wins have been knockouts. Boser has quickness for this division and has never been finished on the canvas. 

Boser grew up studying karate, so leg kicks and footwork is a big part of his game. This will be Boser’s fourth career fight in Las Vegas.

Saint Preux has lost five of his last eight fights and is coming off a December loss to Jamahal Hill. He is averaging 2.68 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 46 percent. Saint Preux is averaging 1.19 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 40 percent. 

Saint Preux is coming off a knockout loss at UFC Vegas 16 where he landed 37 total strikes and ate 68 strikes. He now hopes to avoid back-to-back losses for the sixth time in his career. 

Saint Preux is one of the more proven fighters in the division and is extremely dangerous standing up, with knockout power in both hands and some devastating leg kicks. He isn’t the fighter you can rush in on due to his striking ability and above-average takedown defense, and he has one of the best ground and pounds if the fight does go to the canvas. 

OSP has enough wrestling to survive on the ground, but he’s most effective on his feet where he can unleash his power and use his unique combination of size and athleticism. This will be Saint Preux’s seventh career fight in Las Vegas.

Boser should be the favorite based on his consistency, the hand speed advantage and his striking accuracy. In a stand up fight, Boser should like his chances. With that said, OSP isn’t an easy fighter to finish despite this losing stretch he’s on. Saint Preux also has a decent size advantage here, which includes a five-inch reach. We also can’t forget Boser is on a very quick turnaround along with a short notice, as he’s replacing Maxim Grishin.

There’s some things working against Boser here. Give me OSP and the plus money.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick:
Ovince Saint Preux +150

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA.
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