Indiana Pacers (4-7) vs. Denver Nuggets (6-4)
November 10, 2021 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets 1.5; Over/Under: -
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Nuggets play host to the Indiana Pacers at the Ball Arena on Wednesday night.
The Indiana Pacers have been in decent shape as they’ve won three of their past four games and they will be looking to stay hot after sneaking past the Kings in a 94-91 road win on Sunday. Caris LeVert led the team with 22 points and six rebounds, TJ McConnell added 18 points with seven rebounds and four assists, Domantas Sabonis scored 17 points while Myles Turner racked up 12 points with 15 rebounds and five blocks. As a team, the Pacers shot 44 percent from the field and six of 25 from the 3-point line as they squandered a 15-point third quarter lead, before sealing the win with free throws and a steal on the final possession. Worryingly, the Pacers got just 10 points from their bench, but they dominated the boards as they outrebounded the Kings by 54-33.
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in decent shape as they’ve won six of their first 10 games and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after routing the Heat in a 113-96 home win on Monday. Nikola Jokic led the team with a triple-double of 25 points with 15 rebounds and 10 assists, Will Barton added 25 points and six assists while Monte Morris chipped in with 14 points and five assists. As a team, the Nuggets shot 46 percent from the field and 12 of 41 from the 3-point line as they jumped all over the Heat right from the start, building a 15-point lead going into halftime before holding the Heat to just 21 points in the third quarter to blow the margin to 23 points.
Looking at the betting trends, the Pacers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a winning record, 1-6 ATS in their last seven games playing on two days’ rest and 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. The Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Head to head, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings overall and the over is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Denver.
The Pacers have been building nicely and they will be boosted by the return of Malcolm Brogdon after he sat out with illness on Sunday, while the Nuggets will be without the suspended Nikola Jokic and possibly Monte Morris. The Pacers are also 8-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, so I’m taking the Pacers to take advantage of the depleted Nuggets in this spot.
