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Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 11-25-24 NBA Picks

Dallas Mavericks (9-7) vs. Atlanta Hawks (7-10)
November 25, 2024 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -1.5; Over/Under: +238
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Mavericks and Atlanta Hawks meet Monday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s an Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction. This article will include an Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Pick.

Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview

The Dallas Mavericks beat the Nuggets, lost to the Heat, and they play the Knicks, Jazz, and Trail Blazers next. The Dallas Mavericks are averaging 116.1 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 110 points on 44.9 percent shooting. Luka Doncic is averaging 28.1 points and 7.6 assists, while Kyrie Irving is averaging 23.9 points and 4.5 rebounds. Klay Thompson is the third double-digit scorer and Daniel Gafford is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Dallas Mavericks are shooting 34.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Dallas Mavericks are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.4 rebounds per game.


Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Warriors and Bulls, and they play the Cavs, Hornets, and Pelicans next. The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 115.4 points on 45.8 percent shooting and allowing 210.6 points on 47.2 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 22.1 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Jalen Johnson is averaging 19.4 points and 10.4 rebounds. De’Andre Hunter is the third double-digit scorer, and Dyson Daniels is grabbing 4.9 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 76.9 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 39.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.6 rebounds per game.

Why the Dallas Mavericks will win

  • The Mavericks have won each of their last seven games against Southeast Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Hawks have lost seven of their last eight games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last 12 road games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games following a road loss.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Mavericks’ last six games as underdogs has gone OVER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Hawks’ last nine games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (39.7%).
  • The Hawks rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (16.7).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (73.6%).
  • The Mavericks rank 2nd in the league for Q2 opponent points per game this season (25.4).

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Atlanta Hawks are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re rested, at home, and on the healthier side. The Dallas Mavericks are on the end of a back-to-back and without Luka, which they’re going to feel with their second game in two days. However, the Hawks were easily the worst cover team in the league last season, and they’re 6-11 ATS this year. Laying points with the Hawks isn’t really an option, especially when the Mavs are the better team, with or without Luka. Give me the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Mavericks +1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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