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Bucks vs Celtics Prediction 12/11/25 NBA Picks Today

Boston Celtics (15-9) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (10-15)
December 11, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks +8.5; Over/Under: 225.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks meet Thursday in NBA action at the Fiserv Forum. Here’s a Bucks vs Celtics Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs Celtics Pick.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics beat the Raptors and Lakers, and they play the Pistons next. The Celtics have won 10 of their last 12 games.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 117.3 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 29.1 points and 6.2 rebounds, while Derrick White is averaging 17.5 points and 4.1 rebounds. Payton Pritchard is the third double-digit scorer and Anfernee Simons is grabbing 2.3 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 36.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game.

Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Bucks lost to the 76ers and Pistons, and they play the Nets next. The Bucks have lost 11 of their last 14 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks are averaging 115.1 points on 49.1 percent shooting and allowing 118 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Giannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 28.9 points and 10.1 rebounds, while Kevin Porter Jr. is averaging 21.8 points and 3.5 rebounds. Ryan Rollins is the third double-digit scorer and Kyle Kuzma is grabbing 4.4 rebounds. The Milwaukee Bucks are shooting 40.9 percent from beyond the arc and 71.4 percent from the free throw line. The Milwaukee Bucks are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win

  • The Bucks have won four of their last five games as home underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Celtics have lost each of their last three games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites against Central Division opponents following a win.
  • The Bucks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games following a road loss.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last six games against Eastern Conference opponents.
  • The Bucks have lost nine of their last 10 games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Celtics have covered the spread in each of their last eight games.
  • The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Celtics’ last four games have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Each of the last four games between the Celtics and Bucks have gone UNDER the total points line.

Milwaukee Bucks Player Facts

  • Myles Turner is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.5 threes and 1.5 blocks this season.
  • Ryan Rollins ranks 10th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.6) this season.

Boston Celtics Player Facts

  • The Celtics are allowing just 100.8 points per 48 minutes while Neemias Queta are on the floor this season – lowest mark of any qualified player in the league.
  • Jordan Walsh is one of only four players to have made 8+ field goals without a miss in a game this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for rebounds per game this season (39.4).
  • The Bucks rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (8.3).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (5.7).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.8).

Bucks vs Celtics Injury Report

The Bucks will be without Taurean Prince and Giannis Antetokounmpo. AJ Green is questionable.

The Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum due to an Achilles injury. Chris Boucher and Amari Williams are also out.

Bucks vs Celtics Prediction

Thick line, but the Bucks are in a free fall with the losses and failed covers, and they still don’t have their best player in Antetokounmpo. There’s also distractions, as Antetokounmpo is in trade rumors and players have to keep answering questions about it. The Celtics are 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. Basically two teams heading in different directions. Probably better options out there, but I have to side with the Celtics in a comfortable win given the form of both teams.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Boston Celtics -8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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