Miami Heat (26-28) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (31-24)
February 23, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Bucks -5.5; Over/Under: 221
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Heat and the Milwaukee Bucks do battle at the Fiserv Forum on Sunday night. Here’s a Bucks vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Bucks vs Heat Pick.
Miami Heat Betting Preview
The Miami Heat have been doing it tough lately as they’ve lost five of their last seven games overall, but they will be eager to build some momentum after putting an end to a four-game slide with a 120-111 overtime win over the Raptors on Friday. Tyler Herro continued his strong form with 28 points and seven assists, Andrew Wiggins added 25 points, Bam Adebayo tallied 19 points with 12 rebounds while Davion Mitchell chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Heat shot 51 percent from the field and 13 of 36 from the 3-point line as they missed out on a chance to win in a blowout after leading by 14 points, but they made up for it in overtime where they restricted the Raptors to just four points to earn the gritty road win.
Milwaukee Bucks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Bucks have been in fine form as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after outlasting the Wizards in a 104-101 road win on Friday. Kyle Kuzma led the team in scoring with 19 points, eight rebounds and five assists, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Brook Lopez scored 18 points each while Ryan Rollins chipped in with 15 points. As a team, the Bucks shot 47 percent from the field and nine of 32 from the 3-point line as they struggled early and had to work their way back from a 16-point deficit, before they went on a final push in the fourth quarter to take a 15-point lead.
Why the Milwaukee Bucks will win
- The Bucks have won each of their last seven home games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Heat have lost each of their last six road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Bucks have covered the spread in each of their last five home games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Miami Heat will win
- The Bucks have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The Heat have won each of their last three games as road underdogs after coming off overtime.
- The Bucks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites.
- The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six Sunday night games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Heat’s last eight road games against Central Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Bucks’ last four home games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Bucks vs Heat Prediction
The Heat are still slightly shorthanded with Kevin Love still out, while the Bucks are still missing Pat Connaughton but they are expecting to have Damian Lillard back in the lineup. The Heat could really do with a win to get their season back on track, but it’s not going to be easy against the Bucks. Herro and Adebayo have been solid for the Heat all season, but they’ve lacked a consistent third contributor which I think will cost them again in this one. Sure, the Bucks were far from convincing in their narrow win over the Wizards on Friday, but they are back to full strength and should have too much firepower for the Heat at home.
