Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction 1/4/26 NBA Picks Today
Detroit Pistons (25-9) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (20-16)
January 4, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -4.5; Over/Under: 235.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Detroit Pistons and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Sunday in NBA action at the Rocket Arena. Here’s a Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction. This article will include a Cavaliers vs Pistons Pick.
Detroit Pistons Betting Preview
The Detroit Pistons lost to the Heat, beat the Lakers, and they play the Knicks next. The Pistons have lost 3 of their last 4 games.
The Detroit Pistons are averaging 118.9 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 112.8 points on 44.5 percent shooting. Cade Cunningham is averaging 26.6 points and 6.3 rebounds, while Jalen Duren is averaging 17.9 points and 1.7 assists. Tobias Harris is the third double-digit scorer and Ausar Thompson is grabbing 5.7 rebounds. The Detroit Pistons are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 74.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Detroit Pistons are allowing 35 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.4 rebounds per game.
Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Preview
The Cleveland Cavaliers beat the Nuggets and Suns, and they play the Pacers next. The Cavs have won 3 straight games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are averaging 119.4 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 116.9 points on 46.3 percent shooting. Donovan Mitchell is averaging 29.8 points and 5.5 assists, while Evan Mobley is averaging 17.8 points and 4 assists. Darius Garland is the third double-digit scorer and De’Andre Hunter is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Cleveland Cavaliers are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The Cleveland Cavaliers are allowing 37.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Cleveland Cavaliers will win
- The Pistons have lost each of their last 15 road games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cavaliers have won each of their last nine home games against the Pistons.
- The Pistons have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The home team has covered the spread in four of the last five games between the Pistons and Cavaliers.
Why the Detroit Pistons will win
- The Pistons have won each of their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Cavaliers have lost three of their last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Pistons have covered the spread in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a home loss.
- The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 day games against Central Division opponents that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Pistons’ last five games against the Cavaliers following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eleven of the last 13 games between the Pistons and Cavaliers have gone UNDER the total points line.
Cleveland Cavaliers Player Facts
- Evan Mobley has recorded 3+ blocks in three consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Donovan Mitchell ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per game (3.9) this season.
Detroit Pistons Player Facts
- Cade Cunningham has recorded 7+ assists in nine consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Isaiah Stewart ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for blocks per 36 minutes (3.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.1).
- The Cavaliers rank 1st in the league for H2 points per game this season (61.5).
- The Pistons rank 1st in the league for opponent assists per game this season (23.6).
- The Pistons rank 1st in the league for blocks per game this season (6.2).
Cavaliers vs Pistons Injury Report
The Cavs will be without Larry Nance Jr. and Max Strus. Sam Merrill, Jarrett Allen, and Dean Wade are questionable.
The Pistons will be without Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, and Jalen Dunn.
Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction
The Pistons are having a shaky week and are now down a few rotation players. Early start as well, the Cavs should be favored. However, even with a couple of wins, the Cavaliers are still underachievers who are also a league worst 13-23 ATS on the season. You’re not making money betting the Cavs. The Pistons also aren’t underdogs often, but they are 6-1 SU and ATS in their last 7 games in the role. I’ll take a shot with the points.

