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Celtics vs Grizzlies Prediction 11/12/25 NBA Picks Today

Memphis Grizzlies (4-8) vs. Boston Celtics (5-7)
November 12, 2025 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Boston Celtics -6.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Memphis Grizzlies and Boston Celtics meet Wednesday in NBA action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Celtics vs Grizzlies Prediction. This article will include a Celtics vs Grizzlies Pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Thunder and Knicks, and they play the Cavs next. The Grizzlies have lost 6 of their last 7 games.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 114.3 points on 44.3 percent shooting and allowing 119.8 points on 48.3 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 19.2 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 17 points and 1.3 assists. Cedric Coward is the third double-digit scorer, and Santi Aldama is grabbing 6.5 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 83.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game.

Boston Celtics Betting Preview

The Boston Celtics beat the Magic, lost to the 76ers, and they play the Clippers next. The Celtics have lost 4 their last 6 games.

The Boston Celtics are averaging 111.8 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 109.8 points on 44.2 percent shooting. Jaylen Brown is averaging 28 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Payton Pritchard is averaging 15.5 points and 3.9 rebounds. Anfernee Simons is the third double-digit scorer and Derrick White is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Boston Celtics are shooting 32.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free throw line. The Boston Celtics are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Boston Celtics will win

  • The Celtics have won each of their last 13 games against Southwest Division opponents following a loss.
  • The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 12 games as underdogs.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The favorites have covered the spread in each of the Grizzlies’ last seven games.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The Grizzlies have won each of their last six games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Celtics have lost four of their last six games as home favorites.
  • The Celtics have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six home games against Southwest Division opponents.
  • The Grizzlies have covered the spread in four of their last five games against Atlantic Division opponents that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Grizzlies’ last seven games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Celtics’ last six home games following a road loss have gone OVER the total points line.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for opponent steals per game this season (5.8).
  • The Celtics rank 1st in the league for turnovers per game this season (11.5).
  • The Grizzlies rank 4th in the league for free throw percentage this season (83.4%).
  • The Grizzlies rank 26th in the league for field goal percentage this season (43.8%).

Celtics vs Grizzlies Injury Report

The Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum due to an Achilles injury.

The Grizzlies will be without Ty Jerome, Javon Small, Scotty Pippen Jr., Brandon Clarke, and Zach Edey.

Celtics vs Grizzlies Prediction

I don’t want to get behind the Grizzlies as much as the next guy, as I’ve been fading them a lot, especially lately with the Morant saga. However, the Celtics aren’t lighting the world on fire, either. Both teams are trying to figure things out, and it doesn’t help they’re on the end of a back-to-back. There are better options out there on a stacked NBA card, but if forced to pick, I’m going to close my eyes and grab the points. The Celtics shouldn’t be this big of a favorite against anybody in their current form.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +6.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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