Atlanta Hawks (37-31) vs. Dallas Mavericks (23-46)
March 18, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +8.5; Over/Under: 238.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Atlanta Hawks and the Dallas Mavericks duke it out at the American Airlines Center on Wednesday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs. Hawks prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs. Hawks pick.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks have been on fire as they’ve reeled off 11 wins from their last 12 games and they will be eager to build on their season-high 10-game win streak after taking down the Magic in a 124-112 home win on Monday. Nickeil Alexander-Walker led the team with 41 points, seven rebounds and five assists; Jalen Johnson racked up a triple-double of 24 points with 15 rebounds and 13 assists; and Onyeka Okongwu and Dyson Daniels each scored 15 points. As a team, the Hawks shot 46 percent from the field and 16 of 40 from the 3-point line as they caught fire right away and poured in 67 points in the first half to jump out in front and they didn’t take their foot off the gas until the lead ballooned to 29 points at one stage.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have been cold lately, as they’ve dropped 10 of their last 12 games overall and they will be hoping to bounce back after getting trampled by the Pelicans in a 129-111 road defeat on Monday. Naji Marshall led the team with 32 points, eight rebounds and seven assists on 12 of 24 shooting; Cooper Flagg added 21 points with seven rebounds and eight assists, while PJ Washington chipped in with 18 points. As a team, the Mavericks shot just 42 percent from the field and 14 of 39 from the 3-point line as they struggled to keep pace with the Pelicans from the start and fell into a 13-point halftime deficit that only grew as the game wore on. Khris Middleton had another quiet game of just six points on two of nine shooting off the bench, while Ryan Nembhard scored just two points on one of eight shooting.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won four of their last five games at home as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Hawks have lost three of their last four games as road favorites.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games as road favorites.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 15 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Hawks have won each of their last 10 games.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games against Hawks teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Mavericks’ last six games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Hawks’ last six games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Klay Thompson ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.8) this season.
- P.J. Washington is one of only seven qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 three, 1.0 steal, and 1.0 block this season.
Atlanta Hawks Player Facts
- Jalen Johnson is one of only two qualified players in the league averaging at least 20.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.0 assists this season.
- Dyson Daniels ranks 4th amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (34.2%).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for opponent field goals made per game this season (44.4).
- The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.4).
- The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season—trailing by 18 points against the Suns on November 16.
Mavericks vs Hawks Prediction
The Hawks are still keeping an eye on Jonathan Kuminga, who is questionable, while the Mavericks have ruled out Brandon Williams, Kyrie Irving, Daniel Gafford and Dereck Lively II again. These teams last met just a week ago and it was the Hawks who won by 124-112 and I am expecting a similar outcome here. The Mavericks have been able to surprise a few teams despite their injuries, but I don’t think they can slow down this streaking Hawks squad, who are playing their best basketball of the season right now.
