Indiana Pacers (3-7) vs. Dallas Mavericks (6-4)
November 9, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under: 222.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Mavericks vs Pacers Prediction
The Mavericks are still missing Dereck Lively II, Sergio de Larrea, and Tarik Biberovic, while the Pacers have ruled out Tyrese Haliburton and Ben Sheppard, with TJ McConnell listed as questionable.
The Mavericks are playing their second game of a back-to-back set, but they did pull their starters early last night, while the Pacers had to take a long flight home following their loss to the Nuggets on Saturday in Mexico City. The Mavericks hold the clear edge in terms of recent form; they are getting healthier with every game, and I think they should be heavier favorites when I look at this line.
The Pacers are still missing a bunch of players, and I don’t think the Pacers can score enough points even if Siakam has a big game. Give me the Mavericks to continue their strong form with another win and cover at this short line.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have been in pretty good form as they’ve won five of their last seven games overall, and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after making light work of the Nets in a 130-93 blowout win last night. Cooper Flagg led the team with 25 points and 12 assists on eight-of-13 shooting, Kyrie Irving added 21 points on nine-of-15 shooting, while Daniel Gafford chipped in with 18 points on seven-of-eight shooting.
As a team, the Mavericks shot a healthy 57 percent from the field and 14 of 35 from the 3-point line as they looked comfortable from the very start, pouring in 66 points in the first half to open up a double-digit lead that kept growing in the second half despite the Mavericks pulling their starters early.
Indiana Pacers Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have been in a major slump as they’ve lost six of their last seven games overall, and they will be hoping to bounce back after getting routed by the Nuggets by 114-102 in Mexico City on Saturday. Pascal Siakam led the way with 23 points and five assists on 10-of-18 shooting; Larry Nance Jr. provided the spark off the bench with five 3-pointers to finish with 15 points, while Ivica Zubac chipped in with 10 points, 12 rebounds, and five assists.
As a team, the Pacers shot 45 percent from the field and 15 of 48 from the 3-point line as they were sleepwalking during tipoff and scored just 41 points in the first half to trail by as many as 27 points, which was a shame because the Pacers woke up with 37 points in the third quarter to cut the deficit to just seven points before they ran out of steam.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Pacers have lost 16 of their last 18 games against Western Conference opponents.
- The Mavericks have won each of their last four games against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Pacers have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as road underdogs against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
Why the Indiana Pacers will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last eight games on the second leg of a back-to-back.
- The underdogs have won 12 of the Pacers’ last 15 games at American Airlines Center.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last six games between the Pacers and Mavericks.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Mavericks’ last nine games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Pacers’ last five road games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total points line.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- Daniel Gafford ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (71.4%) this season.
- Cooper Flagg rank T7th amongst qualified players for steals + blocks per game (2.9) this season.
Indiana Pacers Player Facts
- Pascal Siakam is one of only seven qualified players in the league to be leading their team in points (21.4) and rebounds (6.6) per game this season.
- Obi Toppin ranks 8th among qualified players for second-chance points per game (4.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point percentage this season (30.6%).
- Mavericks players have recorded the fewest games with 40+ points (0) this season.
- The Pacers rank 30th in the league for offensive rebounds per game this season (9.5).
- The Pacers rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (24.5).
