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Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction 2/5/26 NBA Picks Today
San Antonio Spurs (33-16) vs. Dallas Mavericks (19-31)
February 5, 2026 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Mavericks +6.5; Over/Under: 224.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Antonio Spurs pay a visit to the Dallas Mavericks at the American Airlines Center on Thursday night. Here’s a Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Mavericks vs Spurs Pick.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs have been in great form as they’ve won seven of their last 10 games overall and they will be aiming for a third straight victory after getting beaten by the Thunder in a 116-106 home win last night. Keldon Johnson led the team with 25 points on 10 of 17 shooting off the bench, Victor Wembenyama tallied 22 points with 14 rebounds and two blocks, while De’Aaron Fox chipped in with 15 points and 10 assists. As a team, the Spurs shot 45 percent from the field and 14 of 42 from the 3-point line as they set the tone with 39 points in the first quarter to storm out to an early double digit lead. They didn’t take their foot off the gas until the lead swelled to 22 points at one stage.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Dallas Mavericks have gone cold again as they are now on a five-game losing streak after getting beaten by the Celtics in a 110-100 loss on Tuesday. Cooper Flagg led the team with 36 points, nine rebounds and six assists, Caleb Martin added 13 points while Daniel Gafford chipped in with 10 points, 12 rebounds and two blocks. As a team, the Mavericks shot 42 percent from the field and nine of 32 from the 3-point line, but while Flagg had another impressive game, the rest of the Mavericks just didn’t provide enough support at any point in the game. The Mavericks trailed in this one by as many as 23 points before they finished with a late flurry to bring some respectability to the score.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The Mavericks have won four of their last five games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Spurs have lost seven of their last eight night games at American Airlines Center.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in 15 of their last 17 games as underdogs against the Spurs following a loss.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Spurs have won each of their last 10 games as favorites following a home win.
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last five games.
- The Spurs have covered the spread in each of their last 10 Thursday games.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games as underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Spurs’ last 12 road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Nine of the Mavericks’ last 10 games against Southwest Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Mavericks vs Spurs Prediction
The Spurs are still missing Jeremy Sochan, Dylan Harper, and Kelly Olynyk, while the Mavericks have ruled out PJ Washington, Kyrie Irving, and Dereck Lively II, with Brandon Williams questionable with a lower leg injury. The Spurs are playing their second game of a back-to-back set in this one, but they’ve clearly been the healthier team in better form, and they would’ve taken plenty of confidence from last night’s win over the Thunder. The Mavericks can make this a contest if Flagg has another monster game, but I think the Spurs will have too much firepower in this one.