Dallas Mavericks (6-15) vs. Denver Nuggets (14-5)
December 1, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -10.5; Over/Under: 233.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Dallas Mavericks and the Denver Nuggets duke it out at the Ball Arena on Monday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Mavericks Pick.
Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Dallas Mavericks have been doing it tough as they’ve lost seven of their last 10 games, but they will be feeling a little better after snapping a three-game skid with a 114-110 road win over the Clippers on Saturday. Cooper Flagg led the team with 35 points on 13 of 22 shooting, Klay Thompson drained six 3-pointers to contribute 23 points off the bench, while Naji Marshall chipped in with 18 points, eight rebounds and three assists. As a team, the Mavericks shot 44 percent from the field and 11 of 39 from the 3-point line as they got off to a slow start. They did their best just to stay within striking distance for most of the game until the fourth quarter where they closed the final 1:52 on a 13-7 run to pull away and earn the much-needed win on the road.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in great form as they’ve won 11 of their last 14 games and they will be eager to keep it going after blowing past the Suns in a 130-112 road win on Saturday. Nikola Jokic led the team with 26 points, nine rebounds and 10 assists on seven of seven shooting, Jamal Murray added 24 points Tim Hard away Jr provided the spark off the bench with 23 points while Spencer Jones chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot a healthy 58 percent from the field and a sizzling 22 of 38 from the 3-point line as they struggled to get any separation despite pouring in 63 points in the first half. They kept making their open 3-point looks and eventually overwhelmed the Suns in the second half to make it look easy in the end.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The Mavericks have lost each of their last 15 games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Nuggets have won each of their last nine Monday games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mavericks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine road games against Western Conference opponents following a win.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
Why the Dallas Mavericks will win
- The road team has won each of the Nuggets’ last 10 games.
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last three games as home favorites.
- The road team has covered the spread in nine of the Nuggets’ last 10 games.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games against Mavericks teams that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Nuggets’ last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Mavericks’ last seven games have gone UNDER the total points line.
Denver Nuggets Player Facts
- Peyton Watson is one of only eight qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
- Jamal Murray ranks 15th amongst qualified players for FT% (89.2%) this season.
Dallas Mavericks Player Facts
- P.J. Washington ranks 5th in the Western Conference amongst qualified players for blocks per game (1.2) this season.
- Max Christie ranks 14th amongst qualified players for 3P% (44.6%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (124.8).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.3).
- The Mavericks rank 1st in the league for opponent three-point field goals made per game this season (11.0).
- The Mavericks rank 30th in the league for Q2 points per game this season (25.8).
Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction
The Mavericks are still missing Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum and Kyrie Irving with PJ Washington listed as questionable, while the Nuggets have ruled out Aaron Gordon, Julian Strawther and Christian Braun once again. The Mavericks will be feeling a little better after taking down the Clippers behind 35 points from Flagg, but it’s hard to get too excited about beating the Clippers, who are ice-cold this season. The Nuggets have been on a roll so far this season thanks largely to Jokic, but they have actually lost their last three games at home which is uncharacteristic of them. Perhaps the Mavericks hang around in the first half if Davis has a big game, but I still think the Nuggets maintain their momentum with a big win at home in this one.
