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Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction 3/3/26 NBA Picks Today

Memphis Grizzlies (23-36) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (38-23)
March 3, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves -14.5; Over/Under: 237.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to the Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday night. Here’s a Grambling State vs. Hampton prediction. This article will include a Grambling State vs. Hampton pick.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies have really struggled lately with injuries, which is why they’ve lost 13 of their last 18 games overall, but they are starting to build some momentum now as they are aiming for a third straight victory after routing the Pacers in a 125-106 road win on Sunday. Taylor Hendricks led the team with 19 points on seven of 11 shooting off the bench, Jaylen Wells added 18 points on eight of nine shooting, and Olivier-Maxence Prosper chipped in with 17 points on eight of nine shooting. As a team, the Grizzlies shot 51 percent from the field and 15 of 35 from the 3-point line as they hit the ground running with 65 points in the first half to take a narrow lead into halftime and the game stayed within single digits until the fourth quarter, where the Grizzlies poured in 34 points to secure the blowout win on the road.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Preview

Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been on a tear lately as they’ve reeled off six wins from their past seven games overall and they will be gunning for a fourth straight victory after running past the Nuggets in a 117-108 road win on Sunday. Anthony Edwards led the team with 21 points and six assists; Jaden McDaniels added 20 points on nine of 12 shooting, while Donte DiVincenzo tallied 17 points with five assists. As a team, the Timberwolves shot 54 percent from the field and 14 of 36 from the 3-point line as they dominated the second quarter by 36-19 to overcome an early 11-point deficit and lead by 14 points, which proved to be more than enough to hold off a misfiring Nuggets squad who shot just six of 22 from the 3-point line.

Why the Minnesota Timberwolves will win

  • The Grizzlies have lost 15 of their last 16 road games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Timberwolves have won 13 of their last 14 games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.
  • The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against Northwest Division opponents following a win.
  • The Timberwolves have covered the spread in three of their last four games against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

  • The underdogs have won four of the Grizzlies’ last six games at Target Center.
  • The Timberwolves have lost two of their last three games as favorites against Southwest Division opponents following a win.
  • The Timberwolves have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as home favorites after winning as underdogs.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Timberwolves’ last five games.

Total Points: Facts

  • Seven of the Timberwolves’ last eight games as favorites against the Grizzlies have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Eight of the Grizzlies’ last 10 games as underdogs have gone OVER the total points line.

Minnesota Timberwolves Player Facts

  • Rudy Gobert ranks 1st amongst qualified players for FG% (70.1%) this season.
  • Anthony Edwards ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for points per game (29.5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Timberwolves rank 1st in the league for Q4 points per game this season (30.0).
  • The Timberwolves have used only seven different starting fives this season—the fewest in the league.
  • The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to record five or more losses when leading by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
  • The Grizzlies are one of only three teams to record four or more wins when trailing by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.

Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Prediction

The Grizzlies are still missing Zach Edey, Brandon Clarke, Ja Morant, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, to name a few, while the Timberwolves expect to have a full squad for this contest. The Grizzlies were always going to be heavy road underdogs in this matchup given their long list of injuries, but they’ve actually won two out of three meetings against the Timberwolves this season and they looked great in their last two wins, so while I fully expect the Timberwolves to get the win at home, I am looking at the Grizzlies to hang around long enough to get the cover in the end.

Peter Tran's Free Pick: Memphis +14.5

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Peter Tran

Peter Trans is an acclaimed Expert NBA Handicapper, renowned for his insightful analysis and predictions in the world of professional basketball. With a keen eye for detail and a deep understanding of the game, Peter has established himself as a trusted authority among basketball enthusiasts and bettors alike. His expertise is showcased on SportsChatPlace.com, where he provides in-depth game analyses, betting tips, and forecasts that are both highly informative and remarkably accurate.

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