Houston Rockets (16-6) vs. Denver Nuggets (18-6)
December 15, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Nuggets -1.5; Over/Under: 235.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets take a trip to the Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday night. Here’s a Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Nuggets vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets have been in great form as they’ve won 11 of their last 14 games overall and they will be looking to keep it going after outlasting the Clippers in a 115-113 win on Thursday. Alperen Sengun led the team with 22 points, 15 rebounds and five assists, Amen Thompson added 20 points with nine rebounds and eight assists while Jabari Smith Jr chipped in with 18 points, 10 rebounds and four assists. As a team, the Rockets shot 46 percent from the field and 12 of 34 from the 3-point line as they had to wrestle a pesky Clippers outfit from the start. They looked headed for overtime with the scores tied late in the game until Thompson made the crucial shot and foul with just 17.2 seconds left on the clock to steal the game for the Rockets at the end.
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have been in a groove lately, as they’ve won six of their last eight games overall. They will be gunning for a fifth straight victory after blowing past the Kings in a 136-105 road win on Thursday. Nikola Jokic led the team with 36 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists on 14 of 16 shooting, Peyton Watson added 21 points on seven of 10 shooting while Cameron Johnson chipped in with 16 points. As a team, the Nuggets shot a sizzling 59 percent from the field and 12 of 29 from the 3-point line as they stormed out of the gates with 41 points in the first quarter to jump out to a double-digit lead. They just kept their foot on the gas to outscore the Kings in every quarter and come away with the blowout win on the road.
Why the Denver Nuggets will win
- The home team has won each of the Rockets’ last five games.
- The Rockets have lost 10 of their last 12 games at Ball Arena.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games against Nuggets teams that held a winning record.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The road team has won each of the Nuggets’ last 15 games.
- The Nuggets have lost each of their last four games as home favorites.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Rockets and Nuggets.
- The Nuggets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four home games.
Total Points Facts
- Fourteen of the Rockets’ last 15 night games against Northwest Division opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Nuggets’ last six games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nuggets rank 1st in the league for points per game this season (125.5).
- The Nuggets rank 30th in the league for opponent turnovers per game this season (12.4).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for rebounds per game this season (48.9).
- The Rockets rank 1st in the league for opponent rebounds per game this season (37.5).
Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction
The Rockets are still missing Dorian Finney-Smith and Fred VanVleet with Tari Eason listed as questionable, while the Nuggets are still without Aaron Gordon, Christian Braun but Julian Strawther has been upgraded to questionable. We should be in for a great contest, with both teams coming into this meeting with plenty of winning momentum. The Rockets were unconvincing in their narrow win over the slumping Clippers on Thursday, but they’ve otherwise been one of the hottest teams in the league. You could say the same about the Nuggets, who are riding a four-game win streak into this one. These teams last met on Nov. 21, and it was the Nuggets who won by 112-109 behind a near triple-double from Jokic, but Kevin Durant scored just 13 points in that contest, which I don’t see happening again. The Nuggets are tempting at the short line at home, but with Gordon still out, I prefer the Rockets to get their revenge in this spot.
