Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction 1/6/26 NBA Picks Today
San Antonio Spurs (25-10) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (15-20)
January 6, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +5.5; Over/Under: 238.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The San Antonio Spurs and Memphis Grizzlies meet Tuesday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs Spurs Pick.
San Antonio Spurs Betting Preview
The San Antonio Spurs beat the Pacers, lost to the Trail Blazers, and they play the Lakers next. The Spurs have won 24 of their last 36 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 120 points on 48.3 percent shooting and allowing 114.2 points on 46.5 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 24 points and 11.7 rebounds, while De’Aaron Fox is averaging 21.6 points and 6 assists. Stephon Castle is the third double-digit scorer and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.4 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 35.8 percent from beyond the arc and 79.4 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Lakers and 76ers, and they play the Suns next. The Grizzlies have lost 4 straight games games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 18.5 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 17.9 points and 7.6 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Zach Edey is grabbing 11.1 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Grizzlies have won three of their last four games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Spurs have lost seven of their last eight road games after losing as favorites.
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as favorites when playing with a rest advantage.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
Why the San Antonio Spurs will win
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 16 home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Spurs have won each of their last nine games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games on the first leg of a back-to-back.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Spurs’ last six games.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Grizzlies’ last nine games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Seven of the Spurs’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Santi Aldama is one of only two players to have scored 35+ points off the bench in a game this season.
- Cam Spencer ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for 3P% (47.1%) this season.
San Antonio Spurs Player Facts
- Keldon Johnson ranks 1st amongst qualified Guards for FG% (57.1%) this season.
- Julian Champagnie is one of only seven players in the league to have made 10+ threes in a game this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Eight different Grizzlies players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to record five or more losses when leading by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
- The Spurs rank 1st in the league for opponent offensive rebounds per game this season (10.0).
- The Spurs rank 2nd in the league for rebounds per game this season (46.4).
Grizzlies vs Spurs Injury Report
The Grizzlies will be without Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Zach Edey, John Konchar, Vince Williams Jr., and Brandon Clarke. Ja Morant is questionable.
The Spurs will be without Devin Vassell. Victor Wembanyama is questionable.
Grizzlies vs Spurs Prediction
I’d like to know the status of Wembanyama before laying this number on the road, but I’m going to do it anyway. The Spurs are 21-14-1 ATS on the season and are consistent both on the road and at home. The Spurs are 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. The Grizzlies remain extremely banged up and have lost 4 straight games. The winner in 9 of the last 10 games between the Grizzlies and Spurs has also covered the number. Home court hasn’t meant much for the Grizzlies, where they’re 7-9 SU. I’ll lay the number with the Spurs.