Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction 1/9/26 NBA Picks Today
Oklahoma City Thunder (31-7) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (16-21)
January 9, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis Grizzlies +4.5; Over/Under: 228.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies meet Friday in NBA action at the FedExForum. Here’s a Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs Thunder Pick.
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder lost to the Hornets, beat the Jazz, and then play the Heat next. The Thunder have won 35 of their last 42 regular season games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121.9 points on 49.4 percent shooting and allowing 107.2 points on 43.1 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.1 points and 6.4 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 18.2 points and 8.2 rebounds. Jalen Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Ajay Mitchell is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 83.7 percent from the free throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 37.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 44.2 rebounds per game.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies lost to the Suns, beat the Spurs, and they play the Nets next. The Grizzlies have lost 5 of their last 6 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 115.9 points on 45.7 percent shooting and allowing 116.6 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 18.5 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Ja Morant is averaging 17.9 points and 7.6 assists. Santi Aldama is the third double-digit scorer, and Zach Edey is grabbing 11.1 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 35 percent from beyond the arc and 80 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 36.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.2 rebounds per game.
Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win
- The Thunder have lost three of their last four games as road favorites.
- The Grizzlies have won each of their last two games as home underdogs against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Grizzlies have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games against Western Conference opponents following a loss.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games against Southwest Division opponents.
Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win
- The Thunder have won each of their last 30 games against Western Conference opponents that held a losing record.
- The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 13 games against Thunder teams that held a winning record.
- The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last eight Friday games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last seven night games between the Thunder and Grizzlies have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the Thunder’s last nine games as favorites against the Grizzlies have gone UNDER the total points line.
Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts
- Cam Spencer ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for 3P% (47.3%) this season.
- Santi Aldama is one of only two players to have scored 35+ points off the bench in a game this season.
Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts
- Ajay Mitchell has recorded 3+ steals in two consecutive appearances – equal-longest active streak of any player in the league.
- Isaiah Joe ranks 6th amongst qualified players for three-pointers made per 36 minutes (4.2) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Eight different Grizzlies players have scored 25+ points in a game this season – equal-most in the league.
- The Grizzlies are one of only two teams to record five or more losses when leading by a margin of 10+ points at HT this season.
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for opponent points per game this season (108.1).
- The Thunder rank 1st in the league for point differential per game this season (+13.4).
Grizzlies vs Thunder Injury Report
The Grizzlies will be without Scotty Pippen Jr., Ja Morant, Ty Jerome, Zach Edey, and Brandon Clarke. John Konchar is doubtful. Cedric Coward and Vince Williams Jr. are questionable.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sorber, Nikola Topic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Cason Wallace, Isaiah Hartenstein, and Jaylin Williams. Alex Caruso is questionable.
Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction
You can make a case for either side, as the Thunder and Grizzlies are the two most banged up teams in the league. Rotation players by the boatload and the stars will be out. So, you’re banking on guys who typically don’t get this much run if getting involved here. With that said, the Thunder have won 11 straight games against the Grizzlies, and most of those games weren’t close. T
he two games this season were decided by an average of 15 points. The Grizzlies haven’t beat OKC since December 2022. Black Adam was still in theaters around that time. Given the history, you just assume the Thunder will continue the dominance. I’ll lay the reasonable number with the Thunder, but there’s probably better options out there on a stacked Friday NBA card.

