Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction 4/26/25 NBA Picks Today

The Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies meet Saturday in the NBA playoffs Game 4 at the FedExForum. Here’s a Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction. This article will include a Grizzlies vs Thunder Pick.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder can be the first team to advance to the second round with a sweep here. The Thunder have won 18 of their last 20 games overall and have lost one road game since February 21. The Thunder look to make the second round for the seventh time since the 2010-11 season.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 121 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 95.7 points on 40.1 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 24.3 points and 6 assists, while Jalen Williams is averaging 23.3 points and 5.7 rebounds. Chet Holmgren is the third double-digit scorer, and Aaron Wiggins is grabbing 1.3 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 34.4 percent from beyond the arc and 78.1 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 28 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 50.7 rebounds per game.

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies need a win to save their season and force a game 5 on Monday. The Grizzlies are in danger of being bounced in the first round for the fifth time in their last six playoff appearances.

The Memphis Grizzlies are averaging 95.7 points on 40.1 percent shooting and allowing 121 points on 46.4 percent shooting. Ja Morant is averaging 18.3 points and 2 rebounds, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is averaging 17.3 points and 1.3 assists. Scotty Pippen Jr. is the third double-digit scorer, and Desmond Bane is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The Memphis Grizzlies are shooting 28 percent from beyond the arc and 82.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Memphis Grizzlies are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.

Why the Memphis Grizzlies will win

• The home team has won seven of the Grizzlies’ last eight Western Conference First Round games.
• The Thunder have lost each of their last four games at FedExForum following a road win.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Grizzlies’ last eight playoff games.
• The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at FedExForum following a road win.

Why the Oklahoma City Thunder will win

• The Thunder have won each of their last 12 games against the Grizzlies.
• The Grizzlies have lost each of their last 10 games against Western Conference opponents that held a winning record.
• The Thunder have covered the spread in each of their last nine games following a road win.
• The Grizzlies have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 12 home games against teams that held a winning record.

Memphis Grizzlies Player Facts

• Jaren Jackson Jr. is one of only three qualified players in the league averaging at least 1.0 threes, 1.0 steals and 1.0 blocks this season.
• Scotty Pippen Jr. ranks 6th amongst qualified players for steals per 36 minutes (2.2) this season.

Oklahoma City Thunder Player Facts

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks 1st amongst qualified players for points per game (32.7) this season.
• Cason Wallace ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.8) this season.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Injury Report

The Memphis Grizzlies will be without Brandon Clarke, Jaylen Wells, and Zyon Pullin. Ja Morant is doubtful with a hip injury, while Luke Kennard is questionable with Achilles soreness.

The Thunder will be without Ousmane Dieng and Nikola Topic.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction

Another massive line for a playoff game, but there’s not much we can do. The Grizzlies got blown out in the first two games and then blew a 29-point lead in game 3. Morant is unlikely to play, and Kennard could be out as well. When it rains, it pours, folks.

The Thunder are also now 57-25-4 ATS on the season, which is easily the best cover team in the NBA. The Thunder have covered eight straight games as a double-digit favorite and 10 of their last 11 games as a double-digit favorite. I don’t have much confidence in the Grizzlies given their situation. Game three likely broke this team. Give me the Thunder in a route and a sweep.