Hawks vs Heat Prediction 2/20/26 NBA Picks Today

The Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks meet Friday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Heat Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Heat Pick.

Miami Heat Betting Preview

The Miami Heat beat the Pelicans, lost to the Jazz, and they play the Grizzlies next. The Heat have split their last 12 games.

The Miami Heat are averaging 119.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 117.2 points on 45.8 percent shooting. Norman Powell is averaging 23 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Tyler Herro is averaging 21.9 points and 2.7 assists. Bam Adebayo is the third double-digit scorer, and Andrew Wiggins is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Miami Heat are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 78.7 percent from the free-throw line. The Miami Heat are allowing 34.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.9 rebounds per game.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Hornets, beat the 76ers, and they play the Nets next. The Hawks have lost 5 of their last 8 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.3 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 118.6 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 23.3 points and 10.6 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.1 points and 3.6 rebounds. CJ McCollum is the third double-digit scorer, and Onyeka Okongwu is grabbing 7.7 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37 percent from beyond the arc and 77.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.2 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

• The Heat have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
• The Hawks have won four of their last five games as home underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Heat have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games following a win.
• The Hawks have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.

Why the Miami Heat will win

• The Hawks have lost each of their last six games when playing with a rest disadvantage against the Heat.
• The Heat have won 10 of their last 11 road games against Southeast Division opponents that held a losing record.
• The Heat have covered the spread in each of their last six road games.
• The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in 10 of their last 11 games as home underdogs against opponents who are on the first leg of a back-to-back.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Heat’s last six games as favorites against the Hawks have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Hawks’ last four home games following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

• Jalen Johnson is the only player in the league averaging a double-double while shooting at least 30% from three this season.
• Nickeil Alexander-Walker ranks 3rd in the league for fast break points (221) this season.

Miami Heat Player Facts

• Davion Mitchell has recorded 10 games with 5+ assists and zero turnovers this season – most of any player in the league.
• Bam Adebayo ranks 10th amongst qualified players for rebounds per game (9.9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (30.4).
• The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
• The Heat rank 30th in the league for opponent free throw percentage this season (80.7%).
• The Heat rank 1st in the league for field goal attempts per game this season (93.9).

Hawks vs Heat Injury Report

The Hawks will be without Jonathan Kuminga.

The Heat will be without Terry Rozier. Norman Powell and Keshad Johnson are questionable.

Hawks vs Heat Prediction

The Hawks have had issues stringing wins together all season, and they’re on the end of a back-to-back. The Heat are rested and as healthy as they’ve been in a while, as Herro is expected to make his return. The Heat made no moves at the deadline because they believe they can compete. If that’s the case, games like this are must-win. You can’t talk about making a run in the playoffs and lose to teams like the Jazz and the Hawks. The line is reasonable. Give me the Heat.