NBA Picks

Hawks vs Pelicans Prediction 1/7/26 NBA Picks Today

New Orleans Pelicans (8-30) vs. Atlanta Hawks (17-21)
January 7, 2026 7:30 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks -10.5; Over/Under: 245.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Atlanta Hawks and New Orleans Pelicans meet Wednesday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Pelicans Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Pelicans Pick.

Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview

The Atlanta Hawks beat the Knicks, lost to the Raptors, and they play the Nuggets next. The Hawks have lost 13 of their last 17 games.

The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 119 points on 48.2 percent shooting and allowing 119.9 points on 47.6 percent shooting. Jalen Johnson is averaging 24 points and 10.2 rebounds, while Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.7 points and 3.4 rebounds. Trae Young is the third double-digit scorer, and Kristaps Porzingis is grabbing 5.5 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 37.3 percent from beyond the arc and 77.8 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 35.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 41.8 rebounds per game.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans lost to the Lakers and Heat, and they play the Wizards next. The Pelicans have lost 8 straight games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are averaging 115.6 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 123.1 points on 48.8 percent shooting. Zion Williamson is averaging 22.7 points and 5.8 rebounds, while Trey Murphy III is averaging 20.5 points and 6.1 rebounds. Jordan Poole is the third double-digit scorer and Saddiq Bey is dishing 2.3 assists. The New Orleans Pelicans are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 79 percent from the free-throw line. The New Orleans Pelicans are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43.4 rebounds per game.

Why the Atlanta Hawks will win

  • The Pelicans have lost each of their last 15 road games following a loss.
  • The favorites have won each of the Pelicans’ last eight games.
  • The Pelicans have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against Southeast Division opponents.
  • The Hawks have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against Southwest Division opponents that held a losing record.

Why the New Orleans Pelicans will win

  • The Hawks have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Hawks’ last five games at State Farm Arena.
  • The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as home favorites.
  • The underdogs have covered the spread in 10 of the Hawks’ last 11 games at State Farm Arena.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of the Pelicans’ last eight games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Hawks’ last five games against the Pelicans following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Hawks Player Facts

  • Jalen Johnson has recorded 6+ assists in 26 consecutive appearances – longest active streak of any player in the league.
  • Dyson Daniels ranks 1st in the Eastern Conference amongst qualified players for steals per game (1.9) this season.

New Orleans Pelicans Player Facts

  • Herb Jones is the only player in the league to have recorded 8+ steals in a game this season.
  • Jordan Poole ranks 4th amongst qualified players for FT% (91.4%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Hawks rank 1st in the league for assists per game this season (31.2).
  • The Hawks have recorded the largest comeback win from a Q3 deficit this season – trailed by 18 points @ Suns on November 16.
  • The Pelicans rank 30th in the league for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (41.7).
  • The Pelicans have recorded the largest comeback win from a HT deficit this season – trailed by 22 points vs Rockets on December 18.

Hawks vs Pelicans Injury Report

The Pelicans will be without Dejounte Murray and Saddiq Bey. Herbert Jones is questionable.

The Hawks will be without N’Faly Dante. Trae Young is questionable.

Hawks vs Pelicans Prediction

The Pelicans have fallen off a cliff over the last couple of weeks and aren’t a team I’m running to back. However, I’m not sure what the Hawks have done to be this big of a favorite. The Hawks are piling up the losses in their own right, and they’ve lost 11 games at home. The Hawks being double-digit favorites in their current form is nuts. This line makes no sense to me. Give me the Pelicans and the free buckets if forced to pick.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +10.5

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

Related Articles

Back to top button