Houston Rockets (25-12) vs. Atlanta Hawks (19-19)
January 11, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Hawks +4.5; Over/Under: 233.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Rockets and Atlanta Hawks meet Saturday in NBA action at the State Farm Arena. Here’s a Hawks vs Rockets Prediction. This article will include a Hawks vs Rockets Pick.
Houston Rockets Betting Preview
The Houston Rockets beat the Grizzlies and Wizards, and they play the Grizzlies, Nuggets, and Kings next. The Houston Rockets are averaging 112.9 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 106.8 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Jalen Green is averaging 20.3 points and 4.6 rebounds, while Alperen Sengun is averaging 19 points and 10.4 rebounds. Fred VanVleet is the third double-digit scorer and Dillon Brooks is grabbing 3.9 rebounds. The Houston Rockets are shooting 32.8 percent from beyond the arc and 77 percent from the free-throw line. The Houston Rockets are allowing 35.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 48.9 rebounds per game.
Atlanta Hawks Betting Preview
The Atlanta Hawks lost to the Suns, beat the Jazz, and they play the Suns, Bulls, and Celtics next. The Atlanta Hawks are averaging 117.3 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 119.8 points on 47.4 percent shooting. Trae Young is averaging 22.6 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Jalen Johnson is averaging 19.8 points and 10.1 rebounds. De’Andre Hunter is the third double-digit scorer, and Dyson Daniels is grabbing 5 rebounds. The Atlanta Hawks are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Atlanta Hawks are allowing 38.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game.
Why the Atlanta Hawks will win
- The Hawks have won each of their last nine day games at State Farm Arena.
- The Rockets have lost each of their last three road games against the Hawks after winning as underdogs.
- The Hawks have covered the spread in 10 of their last 11 day games at State Farm Arena.
- The Rockets have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games against Southeast Division opponents after winning as underdogs.
Why the Houston Rockets will win
- The Rockets have won each of their last 13 games as road favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
- The Hawks have lost each of their last five games against Southwest Division opponents that held a winning record.
- The Hawks have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven games at State Farm Arena following a road loss.
- The Rockets have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games following a road win.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Hawks’ last eight home games against Western Conference opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Four of the Rockets’ last five games against Southeast Division opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Hawks vs Rockets Prediction
The Atlanta Hawks have lost four of their last five games and have failed to cover all five of those games. We’re also now seeing Young on the injury list, which isn’t ideal. The Houston Rockets have won seven of their last 10 games, and they’re 22-15 ATS on the season. With a 59.4 percent cover percentage, the Rockets are the fourth-best cover team in the NBA. The Hawks are 15-23 ATS on the season. As I’ve said before, if the Rockets are serious about taking that next step and being looked at as a legitimate contender in the West, games like this are games they win. Of course, check the status of Young before betting but give me the Rockets on the road and the chalk regardless.
